Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, April 9, 2020

April 9, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Magical Mike 2.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Traffic Trouble 4.50 3 6-1
12 12 Noble Nebraskan 6.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Jack Beanstalk 6.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Ima Coalman 8.00 4.5 8-1
9 9 Mister Noisi 12.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Keep Marching 15.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Sweet Giant 12.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Skyline View 20.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Makinalegacy 20.00 7.9 15-1
11 11 Pump Room 20.00 9 17-1
13 13 Severus 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Atakan 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Honor This 30.00 10.4 20-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Red Fog 3.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 She Love Me 2.50 2.6 5-1
5 4 Steadily 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 5 Congrats This 12.00 4.5 8-1
8 6 Dr G’s Hope 20.00 5.4 10-1
4 3 Guess First 30.00 6.6 12-1
9 7 El Zeus 30.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 I Stand Corrected 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Dizzy Sight 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Clifton Park 3.50 3 6-1
1 1 Farm Strong 6.00 3.8 7-1
10 9 Hell Bent 6.00 3.9 7-1
4 3 Mayito 3.00 4.3 8-1
13 11 Still Schemin 10.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Rapstorerocks 12.00 4.6 9-1
15 12 Cuy 8.00 5 9-1
7 6 Super Edgar 15.00 5.5 10-1
12 10 Elite Mission 20.00 6.4 12-1
6 5 Mountain Tree 20.00 7.2 14-1
5 4 Fuego 30.00 8.1 15-1
3 3 Stroll for Gold 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Declare Union 4.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Fayez 12.00 SCRATCH
16 16 First in Line 6.00 SCRATCH
9 8 We Connected 50.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Reiterate 2.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Dancing Destroyer 3.50 2.4 4-1
4 4 Go Gator Girl Go 6.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 One Hot Drama 6.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Royal Mistress 12.00 3.8 7-1
6 5 Foxy Lady 20.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Richies Great Girl 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 More Than Usual 6.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Spiritual King 3.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Ratify 3.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Fork Union 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Dr. Doyle 6.00 4.5 9-1
11 11 Stonecastle 10.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 U S S Colton 15.00 7.7 15-1
12 12 Strong Headed 15.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Yankee Empire 15.00 8.5 16-1
9 9 Uncle Fester 20.00 8.8 17-1
10 10 Inconveyance 20.00 9.3 18-1
8 8 Bayou Prospector 20.00 9.9 19-1
13 13 Chocolate Bar 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Three Deep 3.00 2.4 5-1
10 9 Embrace My Uncle 3.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Oroscopo 6.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Unprecedented 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Winter At Bastogne 10.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Two by Two 12.00 6 11-1
6 6 W W Candy 12.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Fifty Cents 12.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Jack El Barbaro 15.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Quiet Company 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Dominate Themoment 2.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Money Ride 3.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Flash Pass 4.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 King of Ranch 3.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Frank First 8.00 3.7 7-1
8 7 He’s Super Lucky 8.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Handsome Lil Devil 15.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Holy Muchacho 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Volubile 3.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Bye Bye Man 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Spinning Kitten 10.00 4 8-1
7 7 Preacher Marsee 4.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Bodie Cody 8.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Crupi’s Pizza Dom 4.50 4.6 9-1
3 3 Moon Pistol 12.00 5 9-1
6 6 A I Initiative 10.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Uncle Curly 12.00 5.2 10-1
12 11 Lookin Forever 30.00 7.2 14-1
11 10 Gone Diesel 50.00 10 19-1
10 10 Hero Up 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Warrant Officer 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 St Joe Viper 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Moretti 1.80 2.3 4-1
2 2 Youngest of Five 3.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Admire 6.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 To Dare 4.50 3 6-1
1 1 Indian Counselor 8.00 4 8-1
9 9 Gran Omero (VEN) 8.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Stone Hands 15.00 6 11-1
8 8 Kingsville 20.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Blewitt 20.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mighty Road 3.50 3.3 6-1
11 11 Valletta 2.50 3.8 7-1
8 8 Act Like Artie 4.50 4.3 8-1
9 9 Tuff Bird 10.00 6.7 13-1
12 12 Midnight Marvel 12.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Passion Factor 12.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Capable 12.00 8.5 16-1
2 2 Not a Problem 15.00 9.2 17-1
13 13 Ocala 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Unforeseen 10.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Primacy 2.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Nikki and Papa 3.00 SCRATCH
6 6 No More Stories 15.00 10.1 19-1
10 10 Favorite Sin 20.00 10.7 20-1
1 1 Starship Blanca 20.00 10.9 21-1
7 7 Dur a Cuire 15.00 10.9 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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