Sports from the Basement

Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, April 5, 2020

April 5, 2020 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Check Six 5.00 10 19-1
2 2 Grats Road 15.00 10 19-1
3 3 Lady Cleopatra 8.00 10 19-1
4 4 Bella Alicita 4.00 10 19-1
5 5 Operatic 2.50 10 19-1
6 6 She Might Tell 3.50 10 19-1
7 7 Conformation 6.00 10 19-1
8 8 Moonlight Train 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Frontier Woman 4.00 10 19-1
2 2 Western Attire 20.00 10 19-1
3 3 Traci’s Greeley 6.00 10 19-1
4 4 Tap and Spin 30.00 10 19-1
5 5 Perfect Rush 6.00 10 19-1
6 6 Just for Casey 12.00 10 19-1
7 7 Heart River 3.50 10 19-1
8 8 Be Authentic 15.00 10 19-1
9 9 Starvana 12.00 10 19-1
10A 10 Vegan Goes Best 3.00 10 19-1
11 11 Athenasway 12.00 10 19-1
12 12 Fairy 15.00 10 19-1
13 13 Heffington 10.00 SCRATCH
14A 14 Almyra 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Astrologer 15.00 10 19-1
2 2 Candy Store 4.00 10 19-1
3 3 Make Noise 8.00 10 19-1
4 4 Lngtermrelationshp 3.50 10 19-1
5 5 Solomonic 20.00 10 19-1
6 6 Sacred Oath 10.00 10 19-1
7 7 Parade Field 2.50 10 19-1
8 8 Fra Mauro 3.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Rock City Rocket 10.00 SCRATCH
2 1 James’s Moonshine 4.00 10 19-1
3 2 Smarty Grimes 20.00 10 19-1
4 3 Radicator 4.50 10 19-1
5 4 Exotic Pegasus 6.00 10 19-1
6 5 Blacks Ferry Road 12.00 10 19-1
7 6 Papa Star 12.00 10 19-1
8 7 Lime Tree Valley 30.00 10 19-1
9 8 Boo Be Right 20.00 10 19-1
10 9 Rich Icon 15.00 10 19-1
11 10 J’s Little Man 8.00 10 19-1
12 11 Private Lake 3.00 10 19-1
13 12 Slightly Crafty 12.00 10 19-1
14 14 Bravura Creek 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 She’s a Dime 4.50 10 19-1
2 2 Fleeta Belle 10.00 10 19-1
3 3 Love My Honey 15.00 10 19-1
4 4 M and M Girl 8.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Storm Traffic 20.00 10 19-1
6 5 Field Daisey 15.00 10 19-1
7 6 Sweet Carli 2.50 10 19-1
8 7 She Be Addie 30.00 10 19-1
9 8 True Castle 3.50 10 19-1
10 10 Italian Justice 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Big Biz 15.00 10 19-1
2 2 Quana Dude 3.50 10 19-1
3 3 Proud Nation 6.00 10 19-1
4 4 Kasilof 2.50 10 19-1
5 5 Wicked Citi 8.00 10 19-1
6 6 Grand Atlantic 20.00 10 19-1
7 7 Jasiri 8.00 10 19-1
8 8 Agitator 10.00 10 19-1
9 9 No Problemo 12.00 10 19-1
10 10 Grover Capote 30.00 10 19-1
11 11 Tranquility Base 12.00 10 19-1
12 12 Siete Leguas 15.00 10 19-1
13 13 Big Headed Baby 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Runtech 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Edgemont Road 8.00 10 19-1
2 2 Golden Notion 2.50 SCRATCH
3 2 Score Board 20.00 10 19-1
4 3 Bank 6.00 10 19-1
5 4 Majestic Display 20.00 10 19-1
6 5 Derby Date 3.00 10 19-1
7 6 Major Attraction 3.50 10 19-1
8 7 Time Is Now 10.00 10 19-1
9 8 Lemon and Diem 10.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Violation 30.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Blue Moonrise 2.50 10 19-1
3 2 Motion Emotion 5.00 10 19-1
4 3 English Soul 5.00 10 19-1
5 4 Awe Emma 3.50 10 19-1
6 5 Fugitive Lady 30.00 10 19-1
7 6 Beach Flower 5.00 10 19-1
8 7 Blessed Again 4.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 American Butterfly 4.00 10 19-1
2 2 Sycamore Run 8.00 10 19-1
3 3 Ginobili 2.50 10 19-1
4 4 Rager 15.00 10 19-1
5 5 Nucky 30.00 10 19-1
6 6 Big Returns 8.00 SCRATCH
7 6 The Great Dansky 10.00 10 19-1
8 7 Shashashakemeup 30.00 10 19-1
9 8 Marvin 3.50 10 19-1
10 10 Bel Bimbo 20.00 SCRATCH
11 9 Tumbling Sky 10.00 10 19-1
12 12 Katzarelli 20.00 SCRATCH
13 10 Zyramid 12.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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