April 5, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 9 | Tumbadora | 1.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Water Wizard | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Distinctly Sassy | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Too Stylish | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silver Nina | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Awesome Flyer | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | American Countess | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mi Tia Regis | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Awesome Evil | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Queen Letizia | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Pazyarmonia | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Swirling Candy | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | La Cara Bonita | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Madame Barrister | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | R Sea Smoke | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Flash Money | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Queen Abarrio | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lady Noy | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bahamian Girl | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | R Kiss Em Goodbye | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Nothins Free | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kiffle | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baby Ice | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Miracle | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tropicality | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dancing Noelle | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Myfrancesca | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Cryogenic | 1.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | War Star | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Apache Brave | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Go Gone Gone | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Fully Loaded | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Chief White Sox | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reggae Pirate | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | R Mercedes Boy | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Song River | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Kashan | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Goodbye Gaby | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Seayouathebreakers | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jeanie’s Angel | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Amadora | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Starship Voyager | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Trevess | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | R U Royalty | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | No No Nina | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gotta Go Mo | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Avuncular | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Backside Beauty | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sunnymede Dream | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mane Attraction | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Leftatthealtar | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Empire Moon | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Meadow Beauty | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I’m Prayingforthat | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Subsidiary | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sky Chaser | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fast Venezuela | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Forever Marta | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shes One Mad Momma | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mystic Nile | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Sebastiana | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Voodoo Zip | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Express Pharoah | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Scanno | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Shamrocket | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Riggins | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Reliability | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Peddlers Pride | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Queen’splate Nolan | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Bee Major | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mecha Corta | 20.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alfatei | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | My Boy Blue | 30.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Proven Strategies | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Roman Empire | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mozo Bello | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Over the Channel | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Resident Liberal | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Totono | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Great Kahuna | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Unlockthepotential | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rhythmia | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | First and Three | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Midtown Rose | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alandra | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | R Prerogative | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Up in Smoke | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crumb Bun | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sammie Sunshine | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Fiorella | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Chiclet’s Dream | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Catnip Kitten | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Got the Gist | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Helen Hayes | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Aguas Coloradas | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Run Blondie Run | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Passing Moments | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Starship Gussie | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Samis Car | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Dana Grace | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dubaian | 30.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.