Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, April 5, 2020

April 5, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 9 Tumbadora 1.60 1.2 2-1
5 4 Water Wizard 4.50 2.1 4-1
9 8 Distinctly Sassy 8.00 3.7 7-1
7 6 Too Stylish 10.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Silver Nina 10.00 4.2 8-1
6 5 Awesome Flyer 12.00 4.7 9-1
4 3 American Countess 20.00 7.7 15-1
2 2 Mi Tia Regis 20.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Awesome Evil 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Queen Letizia 6.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Pazyarmonia 30.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Swirling Candy 2.00 1.5 3-1
5 4 La Cara Bonita 2.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Madame Barrister 3.00 1.7 3-1
7 6 R Sea Smoke 6.00 3.4 6-1
3 2 Flash Money 10.00 4.8 9-1
8 7 Queen Abarrio 15.00 7.3 14-1
6 5 Lady Noy 15.00 7.7 14-1
4 3 Bahamian Girl 20.00 8.4 16-1
2 2 R Kiss Em Goodbye 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Nothins Free 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Kiffle 2.50 1.7 3-1
6 6 Baby Ice 3.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Midnight Miracle 4.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Tropicality 10.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Dancing Noelle 12.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Myfrancesca 12.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Cryogenic 1.60 1.2 2-1
4 3 War Star 4.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Apache Brave 3.50 2.2 4-1
7 5 Go Gone Gone 8.00 3 6-1
9 7 Fully Loaded 8.00 3 6-1
8 6 Chief White Sox 20.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Reggae Pirate 30.00 8.4 16-1
3 3 R Mercedes Boy 1.60 SCRATCH
6 6 Song River 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Kashan 3.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Goodbye Gaby 2.50 1.5 3-1
8 8 Seayouathebreakers 4.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Jeanie’s Angel 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Amadora 10.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Starship Voyager 10.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Trevess 10.00 6 11-1
3 3 R U Royalty 15.00 7.7 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 No No Nina 4.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Gotta Go Mo 3.50 1.5 3-1
5 4 Avuncular 4.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Backside Beauty 6.00 3.1 6-1
6 5 Sunnymede Dream 8.00 5.3 10-1
8 7 Mane Attraction 10.00 6.4 12-1
10 9 Leftatthealtar 10.00 6.7 13-1
7 6 Empire Moon 15.00 9.3 18-1
9 8 Meadow Beauty 15.00 9.6 18-1
4 4 I’m Prayingforthat 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Subsidiary 1.80 1.2 2-1
6 6 Sky Chaser 2.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Fast Venezuela 4.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Forever Marta 6.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Shes One Mad Momma 10.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Mystic Nile 12.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 My Sebastiana 15.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Voodoo Zip 2.50 1.4 3-1
4 3 Express Pharoah 3.50 1.4 3-1
3 2 Scanno 4.50 2.6 5-1
11 10 Shamrocket 6.00 3.2 6-1
8 7 Riggins 8.00 3.8 7-1
10 9 Reliability 12.00 5.2 10-1
5 4 Peddlers Pride 15.00 6.7 13-1
9 8 Queen’splate Nolan 20.00 8.5 16-1
12 11 Bee Major 20.00 8.5 16-1
7 6 Mecha Corta 20.00 8.7 17-1
1 1 Alfatei 30.00 SCRATCH
2 1 My Boy Blue 30.00 11.6 22-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Proven Strategies 3.00 1.1 2-1
9 7 Roman Empire 4.00 1.8 3-1
2 1 Mozo Bello 3.50 2.1 4-1
10 8 Over the Channel 8.00 5 9-1
4 3 Resident Liberal 10.00 6.7 13-1
3 2 Totono 12.00 8 15-1
5 4 Great Kahuna 15.00 9.3 18-1
7 6 Unlockthepotential 15.00 9.6 18-1
1 1 Rhythmia 4.50 SCRATCH
8 8 First and Three 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Midtown Rose 1.80 1.2 2-1
4 4 Alandra 3.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 R Prerogative 4.50 2 4-1
2 2 Up in Smoke 3.50 2 4-1
3 3 Crumb Bun 8.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Sammie Sunshine 10.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Lady Fiorella 20.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Chiclet’s Dream 3.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Catnip Kitten 2.50 1.5 3-1
7 7 Got the Gist 4.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Helen Hayes 6.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Aguas Coloradas 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Run Blondie Run 12.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Passing Moments 20.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Starship Gussie 20.00 7.7 15-1
1 1 Samis Car 30.00 10.3 19-1
11 11 Dana Grace 30.00 10.3 19-1
4 4 Dubaian 30.00 10.8 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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