March 28, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Play Money | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sea of Liberty | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Push Through | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big City Bane | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fly the Sky | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Good Bye Putin | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | George Herman Ruth | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Claim of Passion | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mobou | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ragtime Blues | 1.20 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Addouma | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Candy Fury | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Diamond Ranger | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | No Slo Mo | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lighthouse | 1.40 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Woke Up to Aces | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kustom for Karl | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Roadrunner’s Honor | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Orquidias Biz | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Homehome | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Constitutionaffair | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Salah | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Journey | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mongol Altai | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Git On Your Pulpit | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dr. Hoffman | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Royally Big | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fabio | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sharpshootingeorge | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Starship Chewy | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Arctic Roll (GB) | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kitty Boom Boom | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Peter’s Kitten | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Kynance (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pretty Point | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lavender (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Never Be Enough (GB) | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sapphire Kid | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Unicorn | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Catch the Eye | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Quinnie | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Abusive Gary | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kris’ Wild Kat | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Baby Gronk | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Scouted | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bob’s Sniper | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Captain Buzzkill | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Santa Ana S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Opus Won | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Siberian Iris (IRE) | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tiny Tina | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dogtag | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Super Patriot | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Meal Ticket | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Streak of Luck | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Out of Balance | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lostintranzlation | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Imagineiamfastest | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fire When Ready | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wilshire Dude | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cabin John | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Incredible Luck | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Original Intent | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Derby Star | 0.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Trojan Magic | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Da Kine | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Camps Bay | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Master Recovery | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Palace Prince | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vodka Twist | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rightful | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Silent Musketier | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | My Drossel | 50.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Malibu Morning | 50.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.