Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 28, 2020

March 28, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Play Money 2.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Sea of Liberty 3.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Push Through 6.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Big City Bane 6.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Fly the Sky 6.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Good Bye Putin 8.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 George Herman Ruth 12.00 8.9 17-1
9 9 Claim of Passion 12.00 9.5 18-1
6 6 Mobou 12.00 9.5 18-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ragtime Blues 1.20 1.6 3-1
3 3 Uncle Addouma 2.00 2 4-1
4 4 Candy Fury 2.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Diamond Ranger 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 No Slo Mo 10.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lighthouse 1.40 1.6 3-1
1 1 Woke Up to Aces 2.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Kustom for Karl 2.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Roadrunner’s Honor 6.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Orquidias Biz 10.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Homehome 12.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Constitutionaffair 2.00 1.7 3-1
10 10 Salah 3.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 My Journey 5.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Mongol Altai 5.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Git On Your Pulpit 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Dr. Hoffman 10.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Royally Big 15.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Fabio 30.00 9.9 19-1
8 8 Sharpshootingeorge 30.00 10.6 20-1
2 2 Starship Chewy 30.00 10.6 20-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Arctic Roll (GB) 3.50 1.7 3-1
6 6 Kitty Boom Boom 5.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Peter’s Kitten 6.00 3.3 6-1
11 11 Kynance (IRE) 6.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Pretty Point 6.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Lavender (IRE) 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Never Be Enough (GB) 10.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Sapphire Kid 10.00 6 11-1
4 4 Unicorn 12.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Catch the Eye 12.00 7.3 14-1
10 10 Quinnie 20.00 11.5 22-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Abusive Gary 2.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 Kris’ Wild Kat 2.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Baby Gronk 2.50 2 4-1
4 4 Scouted 5.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Bob’s Sniper 8.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Captain Buzzkill 8.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Santa Ana S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Opus Won 3.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Siberian Iris (IRE) 3.50 2 4-1
7 7 Tiny Tina 3.50 2 4-1
5 5 Dogtag 4.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Super Patriot 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Meal Ticket 10.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Streak of Luck 12.00 8.3 16-1
3 3 Out of Balance 15.00 8.9 17-1
4 4 Lostintranzlation 15.00 9.5 18-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Imagineiamfastest 3.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Fire When Ready 2.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Wilshire Dude 2.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Cabin John 4.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Incredible Luck 5.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Original Intent 15.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Derby Star 0.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Trojan Magic 2.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Da Kine 2.50 2.2 4-1
10 10 Camps Bay 3.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Master Recovery 5.00 2.7 5-1
11 11 Palace Prince 8.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Vodka Twist 15.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Rightful 20.00 6 11-1
7 7 Silent Musketier 30.00 8.2 15-1
9 9 My Drossel 50.00 10.8 20-1
6 6 Malibu Morning 50.00 11.5 22-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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