Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 28, 2020

March 28, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Zabava 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Codrington 4.50 1.7 3-1
10 10 Scatnap 5.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Niko’s Dream 6.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Temple City Terror 10.00 7 13-1
1 1 Second Coming 10.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Comic Kitten 12.00 8.9 17-1
12 12 Enjoyitwhilewecan 12.00 9 17-1
3 3 Woodfin 12.00 9 17-1
13 13 Take Ten 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Sweet Hitch Hiker 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 All Quality 12.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Bering Strait 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Devious Charm 15.00 11.8 22-1
6 6 Take Charge Tina 15.00 12 23-1
11 11 Traipsing 20.00 15.8 30-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Travelling Midas 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Beau Luminarie 3.50 1.5 3-1
11 11 Top Seed 4.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Allurstra 8.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Overdeliver 8.00 4.5 9-1
10 10 Gump 8.00 4.5 9-1
12 12 Bernin’ Thru Gold 12.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Be Gone Daddy 15.00 9.5 18-1
4 4 Stealth 20.00 11.8 22-1
1 1 Jake Rocks 20.00 11.8 22-1
3 3 Brutus 20.00 11.9 22-1
9 9 Zoe’s Delight 20.00 11.9 23-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Largent 3.00 1.1 2-1
8 7 Unleveraged 3.50 1.4 3-1
12 10 Tribhuvan (FR) 4.50 2 4-1
5 4 Temple 6.00 2.8 5-1
13 11 Award Winner 8.00 4 7-1
7 6 Proliferate 10.00 5.1 10-1
14 12 Ry’s the Guy 12.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Krampus 12.00 6.4 12-1
10 9 Plus Que Parfait 15.00 8 15-1
6 5 Empire of War 15.00 8.1 15-1
4 4 Faraway Kitten 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Big Agenda 30.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Fifth Title 30.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Opry 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Latest Version 20.00 10.9 21-1
9 8 The Green Mo’ster 30.00 15.8 30-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Cutler Bay S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Vitalogy (GB) 2.50 1.2 2-1
10 10 Decorated Invader 3.50 1.5 3-1
9 9 South Bend 4.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Summer to Remember 8.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Get Smokin 8.00 3 6-1
11 11 Mr. Hustle 12.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Captain D 15.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Moon Over Miami 15.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Pleasecallmeback 20.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Fenwick Station 20.00 6.8 13-1
13 13 Bye Bye Melvin 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Diamonds Enjoy 50.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Vintage Print 12.00 SCRATCH
16 16 With Verve 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Inter Miami 30.00 10.2 19-1
12 12 Street Ready 30.00 10.3 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Network Effect 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Chewing Gum 4.00 1.4 3-1
9 9 Intrepid Heart 4.50 1.8 3-1
10 10 Bourbon War 8.00 4 8-1
6 6 Squeezadios 8.00 4 8-1
11 11 Almashriq 8.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Uncle Mojo 10.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Olympic Village 10.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Wind of Change (BRZ) 15.00 8.6 16-1
1 1 Kingsville 20.00 10.9 21-1
8 8 Musical Heart 20.00 10.9 21-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Hal’s Hope S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 American Tattoo (ARG) 3.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 You’re to Blame 3.50 1.3 2-1
1 1 Harvey Wallbanger 4.00 1.5 3-1
9 9 Realm 6.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Bodexpress 8.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Just Whistle 10.00 4 7-1
10 10 Rare Form 15.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Sir Anthony 15.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Identifier 20.00 7.8 15-1
11 11 Prompt 20.00 8 15-1
7 7 Eye of a Jedi 30.00 10.9 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Sanibel Island S. Presented By Us Foods

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cheermeister 3.50 1.1 2-1
1 1 Lucky Polly 4.50 1.6 3-1
8 7 She’s My Type (FR) 5.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Onyx 6.00 2.2 4-1
7 6 Walk In Marrakesh (IRE) 6.00 2.3 4-1
9 8 Seducer 8.00 3.4 6-1
11 10 Highland Glory 12.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Stunning Sky 12.00 5.2 10-1
12 11 Heir of Light 20.00 9 17-1
4 4 Fujairah 20.00 9.1 17-1
6 6 Lady Panda 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Duchess of Sussex 10.00 SCRATCH
10 9 How Ironic 30.00 12.9 24-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Sir Shackleton S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Last Judgment 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Vekoma 4.50 1.5 3-1
7 7 Jackson 5.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Home Base 6.00 2.6 5-1
10 10 He Hate Me 8.00 4 8-1
5 5 Bourbon Resolution 8.00 4 8-1
1 1 Bourbon Calling 10.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Garter and Tie 15.00 9.3 18-1
11 11 Frosted Grace 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Majestic Dunhill 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Yorkton 20.00 11.8 22-1
4 4 Hy Riverside 20.00 11.9 22-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Sand Springs S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Zofelle (IRE) 4.50 2.3 4-1
7 5 Getmotherarose 6.00 3 6-1
12 9 Valedictorian 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 4 La Signare (FR) 8.00 3.8 7-1
8 6 East Moon 15.00 7.1 13-1
13 10 Another Time 20.00 9.3 18-1
11 8 High Regard 20.00 9.3 18-1
9 7 Angel of Mischief 20.00 9.3 18-1
4 3 Smart Shot 20.00 9.4 18-1
3 3 Souper Escape 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Newspaperofrecord (IRE) 1.80 SCRATCH
10 10 Jakarta 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Picara 30.00 12.9 24-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Orchid S. Presented By Rood And Riddle

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mean Mary 3.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Gentle Ruler 3.50 1.3 2-1
12 12 Elizabeth Way (IRE) 4.50 1.8 3-1
8 8 Beau Belle 8.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Cap de Creus 10.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Kelsey’s Cross 10.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Get Explicit 12.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Quick Witted 15.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Beale Street 15.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Irisa (ARG) 30.00 11.8 22-1
11 11 Over Thinking 30.00 11.9 22-1
10 10 La Australiana 30.00 11.9 23-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Fasig-tipton Gulfstream Park Oaks

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Tonalist’s Shape 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Spice Is Nice 3.00 1.3 3-1
4 4 Lake Avenue 4.50 2.1 4-1
7 7 Lucrezia 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Swiss Skydiver 10.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Mrs. S 15.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Dream Marie 15.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Inveterate 20.00 9.8 19-1
2 2 Bajan Girl 20.00 9.8 19-1
3 3 Spartanka 20.00 9.8 19-1
12 12 Sunset Promise 20.00 9.9 19-1
13 13 Four Grands 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Marialuisa 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Addilyn 30.00 13.9 26-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Kitten’s Joy Pan American S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Zulu Alpha 0.60 1 2-1
1 1 Channel Cat 4.50 2.4 5-1
10 9 Focus Group 8.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Bemma’s Boy 10.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Galleon Mast 15.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Go Poke the Bear 20.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Spooky Channel 20.00 7.6 14-1
8 7 Manicomio 30.00 9.9 19-1
4 4 Current 30.00 9.9 19-1
7 7 Prince of Arabia 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 13 (Stakes) – Appleton S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Sombeyay 3.50 1.2 2-1
12 12 El Tormenta 4.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Ballagh Rocks 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 March to the Arch 8.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 English Bee 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Maraud 10.00 5 9-1
7 7 Social Paranoia 10.00 5 9-1
11 11 Mr Dumas 12.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Hembree 12.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Louder Than Bombs 15.00 7.9 15-1
13 13 First Premio 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Halladay 10.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Regally Irish 30.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Flavius 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Smart Remark 20.00 10.9 21-1
8 8 Dr. Edgar 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 14 (Stakes) – Curlin Florida Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 4 Tiz the Law 1.20 1 2-1
12 8 Ete Indien 4.00 1.8 3-1
9 6 Independence Hall 4.50 1.9 4-1
5 3 Gouverneur Morris 8.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 As Seen On Tv 12.00 3.8 7-1
10 7 Candy Tycoon 20.00 6 11-1
2 2 Shivaree 30.00 8.6 16-1
3 3 Disc Jockey 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Soros 30.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Ajaaweed 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Sassy But Smart 50.00 SCRATCH
8 5 My First Grammy 50.00 12.9 24-1
13 9 Rogue Element 50.00 13 25-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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