Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, March 27, 2020

March 27, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Counterstrike 2.50 1.7 3-1
9 9 Turn of Events 4.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Absam 6.00 4 8-1
4 4 Gimme Some Mo 6.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Rhythm Section 8.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Walk Up Music 10.00 6 11-1
3 3 Alonzo Mosely 10.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Ghostlore 15.00 8.5 16-1
13 13 Mauro’s Team 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Pricing Exercise 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 This Ill Defend 6.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Alpha Dog 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Seven and Seven 20.00 10.3 19-1
11 11 Malibu Edge 20.00 11.5 22-1
7 7 Mighty Tough 20.00 11.6 22-1
12 12 Light Cruiser 20.00 12.5 24-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Miz Chaplin 1.20 1.4 3-1
7 7 Don’t Get Khozy 4.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Miss Mac 6.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Chit Chat Girl 8.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Marching In 10.00 6.1 11-1
5 5 Lucky Milady 12.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Abarrio Forever 15.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Blessed Beast 15.00 7.7 15-1
8 8 Crown Real 20.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Gran Champagne 3.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Kuduro 4.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Khattaf 4.50 2.7 5-1
9 9 Yankee Empire 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Tapping 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Bourbon Street 8.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Apache 10.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Tapi Frost 10.00 8 15-1
3 3 Light Fury 12.00 9.3 18-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 First Wave 2.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Gloriously 4.50 2 4-1
9 9 Noble Alma 3.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Fuddled (IRE) 6.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Giggle Factory 10.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 So Elusive 12.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Borrowed Angel 12.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Fast Catalina 15.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Mane Attraction 15.00 8.2 16-1
6 6 Letter Storm 20.00 10.1 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Looking for More 3.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Queen Kantharos 2.50 1.4 3-1
7 7 Stormy Boss 3.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Country Strong 4.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Mia’s Bobtail 6.00 3 6-1
2 2 Sabina Park 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Tong Shu 15.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Flame Zapper 3.50 1 2-1
10 9 Propensity 4.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Rochambeau 4.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Felix the Fox 6.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Azrael 6.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Greyes Creek 8.00 2.7 5-1
11 10 Freedom’s Flight 10.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Bold Gem 12.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Thunder Mountain 15.00 4.7 9-1
12 11 Liberty’s Pursuit 20.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Colliery 20.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Reinoanimaux 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Holy Meister 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Palace Kitten 10.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Castillete 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Lapochka 2.50 1.2 2-1
5 5 Kahramani 3.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Chase Runner 4.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Candy Crushem 6.00 4 8-1
3 3 Discreet Heat 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Two Step Slew 10.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Krachenwagen 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Frenchmen Street 2.50 1.3 2-1
7 6 Captain Ron 3.00 1.5 3-1
5 4 Coop Tries Harder 4.50 1.7 3-1
4 3 Camp Randall 4.00 2 4-1
6 5 Maniacal 6.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Crosstown Shootout 20.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Cuestion de Tiempo 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Money Moves 3.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Silver Ratio 4.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Ournationonparade 4.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Soros 8.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Edge of Fire 8.00 5.5 10-1
13 12 Mister Candy Ride 8.00 5.6 11-1
12 11 Miles Ahead 8.00 6.6 12-1
10 10 Saratogian 15.00 9.4 18-1
11 11 Liveyourbeastlife 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Sprawl 15.00 10.6 20-1
5 5 Genghis 20.00 12 23-1
9 9 Awesome Tiger 20.00 12.7 24-1
6 6 Aficionado 20.00 12.8 24-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Silver Kitten 2.50 1.2 2-1
5 5 Bacchanalia 3.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Zarina 4.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Bienville Street 6.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Cash Out 10.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Rideforthecause 10.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Wildlife 12.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Solar Kitten 15.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Take Chargechristy 20.00 8.4 16-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Unconquered Lea 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Gufo 4.50 2.8 5-1
7 7 Mystic Lancelot 6.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Ask for Bode 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Bless the Kitten 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Amends 12.00 7.7 15-1
1 1 Bee Catcher 12.00 8 15-1
6 6 Montana Man 15.00 9.8 18-1
10 10 Buy Me Candy 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Prefect 20.00 SCRATCH
11 10 Fame to Famous 15.00 10.1 19-1
12 11 Kid Mercury 15.00 10.2 19-1
8 8 Off the Meds 20.00 12.6 24-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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