March 21, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dance Costume | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Va Va Voom | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lets Get Wild | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Yellow Shirt | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cassie Belle | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dim Lights | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Rain Diva | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sophomoric | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Kayla’s Cowgirl | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Street Sonata | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Oliver | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dr. Dorr | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mystery Messenger | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Route Six Six | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Arizona Moon | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Scarlet Heat | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sassyserb | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Avalon Ride | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Oh Pretty Woman | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Flying to the Line | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Swing Thoughts | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Absolutely Perfect | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Outright | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rossman | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Golden Victory | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lil Sydney | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bernie’s Big Boy | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ultimate Mystery | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Overkoter | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moana Luna | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Afirmjjjojorule | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – San Simeon S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bound for Nowhere | 1.20 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cistron | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Voodoo Song | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Surrender Now | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Murad Khan (FR) | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | King of Speed | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sparky Ville | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Order and Law | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Challah | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sky Jumper | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zorich | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Irish Spirit | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mongolian Sunrise | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – San Luis Rey S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Oscar Dominguez (IRE) | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ward ‘n Jerry | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Camino Del Paraiso | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ashleyluvssugar | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | French Getaway | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Swamp Souffle | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Go for a Ride | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Blazing Home | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Taco Waco | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Posty | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Guinessey | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Meadway | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Calder Vale | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Linfield | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Autism Warrior | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | See Through It | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Doheny Beach | 30.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Miss Tokyo | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Saving Sophie | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tagline | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Madison Parc | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dipping In | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Lookintogeteven | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Still in Love | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Tale | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brandons Danger | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Egyptian Goddess | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.