Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 21, 2020

March 21, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Philly Special 3.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Florado 4.50 2.4 5-1
6 5 Lake Parima 8.00 5.1 10-1
5 4 Formula 10.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Chouchou de Boo 12.00 8.5 16-1
10 9 She Throws Heat 12.00 8.6 16-1
4 4 Malaga 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 More Good Times 4.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Liam’s Lookout 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Show Maid 20.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Strike Magic 15.00 10.8 20-1
12 10 Sense a Million 15.00 10.9 21-1
9 8 Noble Enterprise 20.00 14.1 27-1
7 6 Gingeronmymind 20.00 14.2 27-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Time to Two Step 0.40 1.2 2-1
1 1 I’m a Rockstar 8.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Powerful Words 10.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Gracie’s Dream 12.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Signing Bonus 12.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Distinctly Sassy 15.00 7.9 15-1
5 5 Music City Wolf 15.00 8 15-1
3 3 Aurora Nation 15.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 What’s to Blame 1.80 1.2 2-1
6 5 Sovereign Warrior 2.00 1.3 2-1
5 4 Clamor 3.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Wild One Forever 10.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Island Tap 15.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Vita Dolce 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Isle of Man 1.40 1 2-1
3 3 Blip 3.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Consilium 4.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Purecrazidude 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Bambino 10.00 5.8 11-1
7 6 Mountain Tree 15.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Bellamy’s Treasure 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 French Quarter 2.50 1.2 2-1
9 6 Starship Apollo 3.50 1.8 3-1
4 3 Desert General 4.50 2.2 4-1
2 1 Karma King 10.00 5.4 10-1
10 7 Charge Card 10.00 5.4 10-1
6 4 Li’l Meatball 12.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Year of the Kitten 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Valdocco 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Kyle 12.00 SCRATCH
8 5 Pachanga Party 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Freedom Force 1.60 1.1 2-1
3 3 Quick Step Ed 4.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Viper 5.00 3 6-1
8 8 W W Candy 6.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Disturbin Bourbon 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Shaw 8.00 5 9-1
1 1 Celtic Brotherhood 10.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 West Side Warrior 15.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Bourbon in May 3.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 Kid Bourbon 4.00 1.5 3-1
5 4 Golden Tapit 5.00 2.7 5-1
11 10 Souper Scat Daddy 6.00 3.3 6-1
7 6 Shootin the Breeze 8.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Cable Channel 12.00 9 17-1
4 4 Carbon Data 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Unlockthepotential 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Blewitt 15.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Resident Liberal 15.00 11.6 22-1
2 2 Everyonelovesjames 15.00 11.6 22-1
12 11 King Daddy 20.00 14.8 28-1
13 12 Cool Gizmo 20.00 14.9 28-1
10 9 Flawless Bourbon 20.00 15 28-1
8 7 Tabia 20.00 15 28-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Fortune Cookie 2.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Front Loaded 3.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Champagneonme 4.50 3.4 6-1
3 3 Hard Belle 6.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Storm Advisory 6.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Stone Hands 10.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Glory of Florida 10.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Melody Of Colors S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Hear My Prayer 3.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Foolish Humor 3.50 1.5 3-1
5 5 Mrs. Maisel 4.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Compensate 6.00 3 6-1
3 3 Take Charge Eh 8.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Still Alive 10.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Silver Tunes 15.00 9.2 17-1
6 6 Reggae Revolution 20.00 10.8 20-1
1 1 Randiabby 20.00 11 21-1
8 8 Just Smok’n 20.00 11.1 21-1
11 11 Free the Beast 20.00 11.3 21-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 I Dare U 2.50 1.3 2-1
5 5 Hopeful Growth 3.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Reagan’s Edge 4.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Wanderlust 5.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 We Miss Susie 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Tale of Success 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Mustn’t Grumble 15.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Texas Glitter S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Another Miracle 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Cajun Casanova 3.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Aye Aye Sir 4.00 2 4-1
6 6 Ikeisgreat 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Guildsman (FR) 6.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 R Man Joe 8.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Rockcrest 12.00 7 13-1
8 8 Ain’t Wasting Time 15.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Tizzarunner 3.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Bondurant 3.50 1.3 3-1
6 6 Philo 4.50 2 4-1
8 8 Cash Call Kitten 6.00 3 6-1
10 10 National Honor 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Great Kahuna 10.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Toupha 12.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Bostaleto 15.00 8.7 16-1
9 9 Chuckles Candy 20.00 10.8 20-1
5 5 Differential 20.00 10.9 21-1
1 1 Shidoshi 20.00 10.9 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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