March 21, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Stakes) – Crescent City Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sydster | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Langs Day | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Atta Bouy | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | City Park | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jax Man | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Freedomfi | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kai Baby Kai | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Luckenbacher | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 12 | Dreamalildreamofu | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fate Factor | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flabbergasted | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Sunset Stroll | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Legal Limit | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Global Brand | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 16 | 14 | Trash Panda | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sansa’s Vow | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Well Respected | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Precious | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Heart Sings | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | Incarnation | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Widow of Nain | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Taylor’s Lightning | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Saturday Sun | 20.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | U S S Lexington | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Crescent City Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Steph’sfullasugar | 1.40 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Vacherie Girl | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quikfast N Ahurry | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Oh Toodles | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Saber Cut | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Georgia Dawn | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Jet Sweep | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sebs Princess | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Suggested | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Templet | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Spanish Kingdom | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Small Talk | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Urbanite | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Koko Star | 10.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fortuity | 10.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Barleewon | 12.00 | 14.4 | 27-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Governale | 12.00 | 14.5 | 27-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Imperial Moment | 12.00 | 14.8 | 28-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mighty Heart | 12.00 | 15.2 | 29-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brew Crew | 12.00 | 15.2 | 29-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Kinzea Stone | 12.00 | 15.5 | 29-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Elvis’s Joy | 12.00 | 15.9 | 30-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Reigning Spirit | 12.00 | 16.2 | 31-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Leading the Charge | 12.00 | 16.9 | 32-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Charge the Line | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Southern Swagg | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Reckless Ransom | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | State Treasurer | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Scarlettsblackjack | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Release the Beast | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Forerun | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Saltee Stark | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Asongforyou | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Bistraya | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Letithappencarlos | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Prizeless | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Cajun Chaos | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Greeley Went West | 15.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Temprano | 20.00 | 14.9 | 28-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Costa Rising S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Monte Man | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Letithappencarlos | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Yankee Seven | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Win Lion Win | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Afleet Ascent | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | In the Navy | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Future Ruler | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Eden Grey’s Kitten | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | A Song for Arch | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Treys Midnite Moon | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fame Feather | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Laughingsaintssong | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Inspector Eddie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Bertie’s Galaxy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Mr. Priority | 20.00 | 14.5 | 27-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Grand Luwegee | 20.00 | 14.7 | 28-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mystic Guide | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cernan | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Man of Honor | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Verb | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Steely Danza | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Reprobate | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Quana Dude | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Amani’s Eagle | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Decision Maker | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Buy It | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brother Martin | 20.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Malahini | 20.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Tom Benson Memorial S. Presented By Dixie Beer
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Winning Envelope | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Altea (FR) | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dream Passage | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | She’sonthewarpath | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Notapradaprice | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Joy Nidera (ARG) | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Santino | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fullness of Life (IRE) | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Desert Ride | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Strike My Fancy | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flower Party (IRE) | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – New Orleans Classic S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Silver Dust | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | By My Standards | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lone Sailor | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fearless | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gun It | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chess Chief | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Captivating Moon | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tenfold | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sonneteer | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Muniz Memorial Classic S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 11 | Synchrony | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Instilled Regard | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Channel Maker | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dot Matrix | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rockemperor (IRE) | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Factor This | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dontblamerocket | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aquaphobia | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Marzo | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Captivating Moon | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 12 | Bundibunan | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Henley’s Joy | 20.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Secretary At War | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Twinspires.com Fair Grounds Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Finite | 0.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bonny South | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tempers Rising | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stop Shoppin Tammy | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Antoinette | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | French Rose | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Twinspires.com Louisiana Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Enforceable | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Modernist | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Silver State | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Major Fed | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Portos | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wells Bayou | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Royal Act | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ny Traffic | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chestertown | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mailman Money | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shake Some Action | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sharecropper | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lynn’s Map | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Mr. Big News | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Farmington Road | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Social Afleet | 50.00 | 14.5 | 27-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.