March 21, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Vero Sun | 1.20 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Star of the West | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Splitting Eights | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Little Mazzy | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lost in Rome | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Due West | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Broadway Joe | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Seediskid | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Freudian Analyst | 50.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Super Silver | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Last Buck | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Traveling | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kumar | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Starting Point | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vineyard Sound | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Cicada S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Two Sixty | 1.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ilchester Cheetah | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spanish Point | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Marissa | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cofactor | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Captain Frost | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nileator | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | War Bridle | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Diamond Setter | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wild About Deb | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | So Sublime | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Proud Enough | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Booby Trap | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sparty Boy | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Count Di Luna | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mental Model | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Papa Jim | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dr. Devera’s Way | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mandatory Payout | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kadens Courage | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bob in Our Midst | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Principal Dancer | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Coolboy | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Running Violence | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Danny California | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Yankee Division | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moonlight Now | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tizgame | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Run for Boston | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shock Therapy | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brown Eyed Boy | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Dancin Debbie | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trouble for Skylar | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Magari | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Zecha | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Exceed the Goal | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | World Riot | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Volodina | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5A | 5 | Cobra Sophie | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | My Last Million | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6A | 6 | Cotton Candy Cutie | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Lightning Lilly | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Princess Mikayah | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | The Last Ace | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Giant Shoes | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tapizearance | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Titan’s Will | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Microscope | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Notorious Flirt | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Double Shot | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bellarmine Hall | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Forever Wicked | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Varangian | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Queenofeverything | 1.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Ross | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Goosarella | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Keep Dreamin | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Angels and Us | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Funny Pursuit | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wanna Be Regal | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pretty Fabulous | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Our Lady of Winloc | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Love and Luck | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Maqua Dawn | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Rebel Empress | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 4 | 4 | City Bird Flying | 50.00 | 14.7 | 28-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Helmers Run | 50.00 | 14.9 | 28-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Molly’s Shrink | 50.00 | 15.9 | 30-1 |
| 15 | 15 | On to Cincinnati | 50.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.