Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, March 20, 2020

March 20, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Common Courtesy 0.80 1.2 2-1
2 2 Gottahaveaholiday 1.40 1.3 3-1
5 5 She Answered 5.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Lady Mechanic 15.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Hickory Made 20.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Happyandiknowit 30.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Danebury 1.40 1.4 3-1
5 5 Shamrock Kid 2.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Bustin Shout 3.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Durkin’s Call 4.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Horoscope 8.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Be Present 1.00 1 2-1
6 6 Liza Jambalaya 2.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Jasminesque 4.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Superbloodwolfmoon 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Capraia’s Destiny 10.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Kashmir Queen 15.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mohican 2.00 2 4-1
2 2 Where’s Rudy 0.60 2.1 4-1
7 7 Nileator 12.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Street Trust 8.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Philly Completely 15.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Eden Ridge 20.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Swiping Dan 30.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sharp Starr 2.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Bankers Daughter 4.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Eloquent Speaker 4.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Micromillion 3.50 1.9 4-1
9 9 Choose Happiness 8.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Magnolia’s Lady 8.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Take Charge Donna 12.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Kilkea 15.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Vienna Code 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Win With Pride 3.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Aristocratic 3.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 No Distortion 5.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Missle Bomb 4.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Thousand Percent 8.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 The Sicarii 10.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Seethisquick 12.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Reed Kan 15.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Blessed Halo 15.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 American Rule 30.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Courageous Girl 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Makingcents 3.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Holmdel Park 4.50 2.3 4-1
8 8 Stonezapper 3.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 My My Michelle 8.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Pot of Hunny 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Wear My Ring 8.00 5 9-1
2 2 Grudge 15.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Adios Amigos 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Apex Predator 5.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Kilmarknock 4.00 2 4-1
8 8 Bronze Lion 6.00 2 4-1
3A 3 Fridaybeers 8.00 2.5 5-1
10A 10 Mo Lightning 8.00 4 8-1
4 4 Brunate 12.00 4.1 8-1
11 11 Come On E. V. 12.00 4.3 8-1
13 13 Carters Got Sass 8.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Snappy Cat 20.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Papa Tom B 20.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 J’s Warrior 30.00 7.7 15-1
6 6 Odin’s Honor 50.00 10.8 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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