March 20, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Common Courtesy | 0.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gottahaveaholiday | 1.40 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She Answered | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Mechanic | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hickory Made | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Happyandiknowit | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Danebury | 1.40 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shamrock Kid | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bustin Shout | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Durkin’s Call | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Horoscope | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Be Present | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Liza Jambalaya | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jasminesque | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Superbloodwolfmoon | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Capraia’s Destiny | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kashmir Queen | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mohican | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Where’s Rudy | 0.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nileator | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Street Trust | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Philly Completely | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eden Ridge | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Swiping Dan | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sharp Starr | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bankers Daughter | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eloquent Speaker | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Micromillion | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Choose Happiness | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magnolia’s Lady | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Take Charge Donna | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kilkea | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vienna Code | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Win With Pride | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aristocratic | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No Distortion | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Missle Bomb | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thousand Percent | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Sicarii | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Seethisquick | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Reed Kan | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blessed Halo | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | American Rule | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Courageous Girl | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Makingcents | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Holmdel Park | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stonezapper | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My My Michelle | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pot of Hunny | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wear My Ring | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grudge | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Adios Amigos | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Apex Predator | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kilmarknock | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bronze Lion | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3A | 3 | Fridaybeers | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 10A | 10 | Mo Lightning | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brunate | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Come On E. V. | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Carters Got Sass | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Snappy Cat | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Papa Tom B | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | J’s Warrior | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Odin’s Honor | 50.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.