Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, March 19, 2020

March 19, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Jack Beanstalk 2.50 1.1 2-1
6 6 Capitan Fofo 3.00 1.4 3-1
9 9 Optimistic 4.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Cat Gone Quick 6.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Enano Astray 8.00 4 8-1
2 2 Pump Room 10.00 5 10-1
8 8 Monetized 12.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Charly Jesus’ Team 12.00 6 11-1
3 3 Mia’s Extortionist 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Winning Factor 2.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Rags for Britches 2.50 1.3 2-1
5 4 Dillon Rocks 3.00 1.5 3-1
6 5 Joe Benjamin 4.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Dramatic Kitten 15.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Lucky Kiss 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Candy Coma 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Fifty Cents 2.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Franco’s Team 3.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 El Gran Pichon 6.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Youreoutofcontrol 20.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Put It On Detti 20.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Ninth of April 30.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Steadily 1.80 1.1 2-1
6 6 Congrats This 3.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 I Stand Corrected 3.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Stuck With You 4.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Maturin 8.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 El Zeus 12.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Cowboy Bob 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Wordman 1.60 1.2 2-1
4 4 Palace Kid 3.00 2 4-1
5 5 Nextstop Pokipc 4.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Weekend Dreamer 6.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Super Edgar 10.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Bychance 15.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Chanelin 15.00 8 15-1
6 6 Gran Hombre 15.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Napa Rules 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Kimura 3.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Words of Devine 4.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Domineer 4.50 2.6 5-1
7 7 Reiterate 6.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Princess Ulele 6.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Queen Abarrio 10.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Shanghaisweetheart 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Myfrancesca 3.50 2.1 4-1
7 7 Passing Moments 4.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Samis Car 6.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Keilani 8.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 A Song for Sue 8.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Blue Chicory 10.00 7.9 15-1
5 5 Hilltop Harmony 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Bye Bye Man 2.50 1.3 2-1
3 3 Sir Seamus 3.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Youshouldbesolucky 4.00 2 4-1
1 1 Spinning Kitten 6.00 3.1 6-1
9 8 Uncle Curly 6.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Big Hambone 10.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Tiz Luna 12.00 6.1 11-1
8 7 Lookin Forever 20.00 9 17-1
7 7 Mon Chevalier 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Flora Fantasy 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Shes All Woman 2.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Gioielli 3.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 One Hot Drama 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 How Sweep It Is 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Susie’s Memory 15.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mystical Moon 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 A I Initiative 4.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Ninja Dust 4.50 1.7 3-1
7 7 Good Solution 6.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Red Fog 8.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Preacher Marsee 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Monmouth Dr 10.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Bodie Cody 10.00 5 9-1
3 3 King of Leinster (IRE) 12.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Son of Greatness 20.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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