Sports from the Basement

Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, March 15, 2020

March 15, 2020 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Big Bad Bud 20.00 1 2-1
5 5 Sacred Oath 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Richmond 15.00 1 2-1
8 8 Denver City 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Data Cat 20.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Greater Cairo 2.50 1.1 2-1
3 3 Wyoming Conquest 12.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Vaya Con Dios 1.80 1.2 2-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Buck Duane 3.00 1.1 2-1
8 8 Quicksilver 10.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Charlie’s Schiller 20.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Hollywood Star 4.50 3.3 6-1
9 9 R H Smoakem 30.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 Come On Dover 30.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Dahik 15.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 War Veteran 8.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Grab the Munny 5.00 9.8 19-1
4 4 Muskoka Wonder 2.00 9.9 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 A Real Gem 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Emily Bug 20.00 1.2 2-1
12 12 Proudly Fought 4.00 1.3 2-1
10 10 Hermana Red 20.00 1.3 2-1
13 13 Dede’s Trick 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Foolish Princess 5.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Unlawful Assembly 12.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Withyourpermission 15.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Plus Size Value 20.00 1.3 2-1
14 14 Curlin Beauty 4.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Our Lizzy Lou 10.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Suits Me 6.00 1.3 3-1
11 11 Gypsy Wind Jeanne 12.00 1.4 3-1
9 9 Weekend Madness 3.00 1.4 3-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 I Stan for Love 15.00 1 2-1
3 3 Papa Star 12.00 1 2-1
8 8 Traffic Scout 12.00 1 2-1
13 13 Ironic 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Pearlthirtyeight 10.00 1.2 2-1
11 11 Into Orbit 20.00 1.2 2-1
9 9 Back Road Outlaw 20.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Moonshine Moment 6.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Exotic Pegasus 4.50 1.3 2-1
4 4 Fire To 8.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Sunday Sermon 4.00 1.3 2-1
14 14 Rockthepulpit 5.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Jimmie T 15.00 1.3 2-1
12 12 Implicator 3.50 1.4 3-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Shortlist 6.00 0.6 1-1
7 7 Flat Lucky 12.00 0.6 1-1
3 3 Jerrys Pridenjoy 10.00 1 2-1
1 1 Powerful Ally 4.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Principe Guilherme 2.50 1.9 4-1
8 8 Pete’s Play Call 6.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Recount 10.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 D’ Rapper 3.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Boathouse View 4.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Rizzi’s Honors 3.50 1.4 3-1
7 6 Zella Rose 12.00 2.5 5-1
4 3 Eurodevilwoman 15.00 2.6 5-1
5 4 Drip Brew 2.50 3 6-1
3 2 Take Charge Erica 10.00 5.3 10-1
6 5 Heavens Whisper 2.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Special Reserve 12.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Soaring Bird 6.00 1.7 3-1
8 7 Candy Cornell 3.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Market King 12.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Vice Versa 8.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Tiz McNamara 4.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Courting a Kiss 5.00 8.1 15-1
9 8 Light of the World 20.00 8.7 16-1
1 1 Town Champ 3.50 8.8 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Shivermetimbers 10.00 0.8 2-1
6 6 Colonelsdarktemper 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Exulting 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Petrov 15.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Gordy Florida 10.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Chris and Dave 4.00 2.2 4-1
10 10 Operation Stevie 4.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Extirpator 8.00 4.8 9-1
9 8 Timeline 12.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 M G Warrior 2.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Mister Banjoman 20.00 10.8 20-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cherokee Maiden 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Cloudbuster 15.00 1 2-1
9 9 Hashtag Winner 15.00 1 2-1
1 1 Glamour Girl 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 She’s Xtremely Hot 8.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Malibu Marlee 15.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Areemaa 12.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Beach Time 4.50 1.2 2-1
8 8 Strong Flag 3.00 1.2 2-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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