March 15, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cause | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Danegeld | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dutchmen Forever | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Long Island City | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kid Chocolate | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Von Aldenbruck | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Emcee Prime | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shadow Caster | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Make Or Break | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vibrancy | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hot Little Honey | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chaysenbryn | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Becky’s Mission | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | All About Reyana | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Valid Quest | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dan the Man Can | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cryptographer | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Future Book | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Judiths Cougar | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stone Guitar | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Timely Tradition | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Letmetakethiscall | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Archumybaby | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Zecha | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Bustin to Please | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8A | 6 | First Forever | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Linda’s Ballet | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Ella’s Song | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Peaches and Spice | 50.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Saratoga Pal | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Slash Gordon | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wardenofthenorth | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Devil’s Code | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Microsecond | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Stash My Money | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ganondagan | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Book of Delancey | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Our Last Buck | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tiz Morning | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Joke’s On You | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sneads | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bebe Banker | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Quiet Out East | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Soul Fight | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Amanjena | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Adversary | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | High Amplitude | 1.40 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Scoreswhenhewants | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hersh | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Freedom Prince | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flying Curlin | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Shadow Rider | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hizaam | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Damon Runyon S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon Bay | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Scilly Cay | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dream Bigger | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | More Graytful | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chowda | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Prince of Pharoahs | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Titan’s Will | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gandy Dancing | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ernie Banker | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Not Phar Now | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Farragut | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Whiskey | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unbridled John | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Senrima | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Black Irish | 50.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.