Sports from the Basement

Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 14, 2020

March 14, 2020 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Lime Tree Valley 15.00 1 2-1
9 9 J’s Little Man 10.00 1.1 2-1
12 12 Egomaniac 8.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Radicator 4.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Unbridled Shoes 30.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 Therunawayrocket 20.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Thornish 4.50 1.3 2-1
2 2 Soul Temptation 30.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Ten Buds 4.50 1.3 2-1
4 4 Random Affair 10.00 1.4 3-1
10 10 Private Lake 3.50 1.4 3-1
6A 6 Blanco Bronco 12.00 10 19-1
13A 13 Ironic 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 My Little Spitfire 20.00 1 2-1
6 6 Ready Orb Not 2.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Kiss More 4.50 1.1 2-1
1 1 Between the Hedges 10.00 1.1 2-1
9 9 Lemon Drop Kitty 12.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Flatoutcountry 15.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Letters to Belle 30.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Dulce Ride 3.00 7.1 14-1
3 3 Crystal Lake 3.50 8.8 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Destinedtobeastar 10.00 0.9 2-1
3 3 Reef’s Destiny 20.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Bank Man 12.00 1.1 2-1
8 8 Young Bull 5.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Sir Brahms 6.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 East Moon Lake 20.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Wasabi Moon 15.00 2.1 4-1
10 10 Joan’s Delight 4.00 3.4 6-1
13 12 Souixper Charger 3.50 4.9 9-1
2 2 Captain Don 3.00 4.9 9-1
11 11 Dothebestyoucan 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Bebop Shoes 4.50 SCRATCH
12 11 Destiny Way 8.00 13.7 26-1
4 4 Piece of Work 10.00 13.8 26-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 3 Fayette Warrior 8.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Candy Carlos 4.50 2.7 5-1
7 4 Codetowin 8.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 I Will Stand 6.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Kristi’s Copilot 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Coach Adams 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 He’s So Zazzy 20.00 SCRATCH
8A 8 Power Song 1.80 SCRATCH
9A 5 Matrooh 1.80 10 19-1
10 10 Croatian 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Special Pryce 30.00 1 2-1
2 2 Sturgill 15.00 1 2-1
5 5 What a Country 12.00 1 2-1
7 7 Overshadow 12.00 1 2-1
3 3 Boating Party 6.00 1 2-1
10 10 Stock Deal 20.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Jasiri 15.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 Dreamonmebaby 6.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Shaka 8.00 1.2 2-1
9 9 Blackberry Wine 0.80 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Background 6.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Shackleford’s Joy 8.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Life On the Road 6.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Davidic Line 6.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Ready to Roll 4.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Taishan 3.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Villainous 3.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 Captain Bombastic 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Impact Player 6.00 1.2 2-1
11 9 Better Charge It 20.00 2.4 5-1
8 6 Nifty 4.00 3.7 7-1
9 7 Silver Ride 3.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Curate 3.50 4.9 9-1
6 4 Fast Breakin Cash 20.00 5.3 10-1
10 8 K Choice 8.00 6.1 12-1
4 3 Ruler of the Nile 8.00 9.5 18-1
3 3 Tut’s Revenge 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Battle Station 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Kauai 15.00 10.7 20-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Essex H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bravazo 8.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Bankit 2.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Night Ops 4.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Snapper Sinclair 3.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Guest Suite 30.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Laughing Fox 4.50 4.4 8-1
7 7 Pioneer Spirit 3.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Azeri S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Saracosa 20.00 0.4 1-1
6 6 Rahway 20.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Street Band 3.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Lady Apple 2.50 4.7 9-1
5 5 Serengeti Empress 1.80 5.6 11-1
7 7 Awe Emma 12.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Mylady Curlin 4.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Rebel S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Coach Bahe 30.00 1 2-1
2 2 Excession 30.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Silver Prospector 3.50 2.4 4-1
6 6 Three Technique 3.50 4.1 8-1
3 3 Basin 3.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 No Parole 8.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 American Theorem 6.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Nadal 2.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Silverbella 15.00 1 2-1
4 4 Zanadu 12.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Leggs Galore 12.00 1 2-1
9 8 Never Say Can’t 10.00 1 2-1
6 5 Sacred Union 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Lucky Betty 6.00 1.1 2-1
12 10 Tipsy Gal 6.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Classy Beast 20.00 1.3 2-1
8 7 Gurl You Fine 15.00 1.3 2-1
5 4 Cynical Girl 2.50 1.3 3-1
10 9 Weekend Fun 6.00 1.4 3-1
11 11 French Cafe 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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