Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 14, 2020

March 14, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mona Luna 10.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Royal Thunder 5.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Bobby’s Goldengirl 8.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Souper Cohiba 12.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Super Dancer 6.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Al Brown 0.60 1.3 2-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Paul the Waiter 4.50 0.2 0-1
6 6 Tappahannock 20.00 0.6 1-1
4 4 Masai Man 15.00 0.8 1-1
8 8 My Man Pots N Pans 2.50 0.9 2-1
9A 9 Flip 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Sassy King 4.50 1.1 2-1
1 1 Benandjoe 10.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Top Me Off 15.00 SCRATCH
7A 7 Willmakeyouhappy 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 No More Talk 20.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Uplifting 12.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Throw the Fade 12.00 1.3 3-1
2 2 Sir Orinoco 1.80 3.4 6-1
3 3 Stroll Smokin 1.60 3.8 7-1
6 6 Colonel Sharp 6.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Day the Music Died 4.50 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Smart and Broke 50.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Late Breaking News 4.50 2.6 5-1
7 7 Jefazo 2.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Can’t Pass It Up 8.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Degrom 1.80 5.1 10-1
5 5 Awesome D J 12.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Federal Walk 15.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Bustoff 8.00 7.7 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Nellie Morse S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lady Banba 20.00 0.9 2-1
3 3 Jennemily 3.50 1.2 2-1
1 1 Victim of Love 4.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Horologist 4.50 1.9 4-1
7 7 Needs Supervision 6.00 2 4-1
6 6 Bye Bye Bertie 10.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Arrifana 1.80 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cerulean Springs 5.00 1.8 3-1
10 10 Fortunate Friends 6.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Confessor 8.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Workin On a Dream 20.00 3 6-1
6 6 V. I. P. Ticket 15.00 4 8-1
7 7 Tappin Cat 3.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Marco Island 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Bobby G 3.50 5.5 10-1
5 5 Follow the Dog 10.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Fear the Turtle 15.00 9.1 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Beyond The Wire S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mama’s Grey Ghost 12.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Princess Cadey 4.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Naughty Thoughts 2.50 3.9 7-1
8 8 She’smysunshine 10.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Ankle Monitor 5.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Miss Tap Dance 8.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Bella Aurora 3.50 7.8 15-1
7 7 Long Point Beach 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tough N Buff 6.00 1.3 3-1
7 7 My Lila 15.00 1.4 3-1
9 9 Amphitrite 5.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Courtesy Shuffle 15.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Bigdaddysglory 20.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Vics Cool Cat 2.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Whoisaprettygirl 3.50 2.8 5-1
8 8 Always Talking 4.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 Girl Next Door 10.00 8.7 16-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Harrison E. Johnson Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Senior Investment 6.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Bonus Points 15.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Forewarned 12.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Wait for It 6.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Someday Jones 2.50 5.2 10-1
2 2 Alwaysmining 2.00 6 11-1
3 3 Name Changer 4.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Private Terms S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Awesome Party 15.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 My Friends Beer 12.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Lebda 2.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Mine Not Mine 5.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Big City Bob 2.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Took Charge 2.50 6.7 13-1
3 3 Amen Corner 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Start With Yes 12.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Galerio 1.80 1.9 4-1
6 6 Toe Curlin’ Kiss 15.00 2 4-1
9 9 Daddy’s On Strike 30.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Moti 8.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Team Effort 10.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 The Magical One 10.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Garrison’s Charge 5.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 Goodluckjohnathan 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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