March 14, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Mona Luna | 10.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
5 | 5 | Royal Thunder | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
2 | 2 | Bobby’s Goldengirl | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
4 | 4 | Souper Cohiba | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
1 | 1 | Super Dancer | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
6 | 6 | Al Brown | 0.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Paul the Waiter | 4.50 | 0.2 | 0-1 | |
6 | 6 | Tappahannock | 20.00 | 0.6 | 1-1 | |
4 | 4 | Masai Man | 15.00 | 0.8 | 1-1 | |
8 | 8 | My Man Pots N Pans | 2.50 | 0.9 | 2-1 | |
9A | 9 | Flip | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
3 | 3 | Sassy King | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
1 | 1 | Benandjoe | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
5 | 5 | Top Me Off | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
7A | 7 | Willmakeyouhappy | 2.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | No More Talk | 20.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
7 | 7 | Uplifting | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
1 | 1 | Throw the Fade | 12.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
2 | 2 | Sir Orinoco | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | Stroll Smokin | 1.60 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
6 | 6 | Colonel Sharp | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
5 | 5 | Day the Music Died | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Smart and Broke | 50.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
6 | 6 | Late Breaking News | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
7 | 7 | Jefazo | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
3 | 3 | Can’t Pass It Up | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
8 | 8 | Degrom | 1.80 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
5 | 5 | Awesome D J | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
1 | 1 | Federal Walk | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
4 | 4 | Bustoff | 8.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Nellie Morse S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Lady Banba | 20.00 | 0.9 | 2-1 |
3 | 3 | Jennemily | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
1 | 1 | Victim of Love | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
5 | 5 | Horologist | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
7 | 7 | Needs Supervision | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
6 | 6 | Bye Bye Bertie | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
2 | 2 | Arrifana | 1.80 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Cerulean Springs | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
10 | 10 | Fortunate Friends | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
4 | 4 | Confessor | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
9 | 9 | Workin On a Dream | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
6 | 6 | V. I. P. Ticket | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
7 | 7 | Tappin Cat | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
8 | 8 | Marco Island | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
3 | 3 | Bobby G | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
5 | 5 | Follow the Dog | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
2 | 2 | Fear the Turtle | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Beyond The Wire S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Mama’s Grey Ghost | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
1 | 1 | Princess Cadey | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
3 | 3 | Naughty Thoughts | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
8 | 8 | She’smysunshine | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
5 | 5 | Ankle Monitor | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
6 | 6 | Miss Tap Dance | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
4 | 4 | Bella Aurora | 3.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
7 | 7 | Long Point Beach | 10.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Tough N Buff | 6.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
7 | 7 | My Lila | 15.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
9 | 9 | Amphitrite | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
4 | 4 | Courtesy Shuffle | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
6 | 6 | Bigdaddysglory | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
5 | 5 | Vics Cool Cat | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
2 | 2 | Whoisaprettygirl | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
8 | 8 | Always Talking | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
1 | 1 | Girl Next Door | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Harrison E. Johnson Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Senior Investment | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
6 | 6 | Bonus Points | 15.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
4 | 4 | Forewarned | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
7 | 7 | Wait for It | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
5 | 5 | Someday Jones | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
2 | 2 | Alwaysmining | 2.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
3 | 3 | Name Changer | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Private Terms S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Awesome Party | 15.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
1 | 1 | My Friends Beer | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
2 | 2 | Lebda | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
5 | 5 | Mine Not Mine | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
4 | 4 | Big City Bob | 2.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
7 | 7 | Took Charge | 2.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
3 | 3 | Amen Corner | 20.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Start With Yes | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
8 | 8 | Galerio | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
6 | 6 | Toe Curlin’ Kiss | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
9 | 9 | Daddy’s On Strike | 30.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
7 | 7 | Moti | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
3 | 3 | Team Effort | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
5 | 5 | The Magical One | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
2 | 2 | Garrison’s Charge | 5.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
1 | 1 | Goodluckjohnathan | 3.00 | SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.