Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 14, 2020

March 14, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Ima Pharoah 4.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 U S S Colton 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Onward 3.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Sagamore Mischief 3.50 3.8 7-1
10 10 Fugitive 8.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Victory Town 12.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Cajun Brother 10.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 He’s a Babe 12.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 All Inclusive 20.00 6.1 11-1
8 8 General Mathis 20.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Crystalina 1.20 1.2 2-1
2 2 Bust Out Lady 4.50 3.8 7-1
7 6 Boss Wife 2.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Mrs. Miniver 10.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Dama de Noche 15.00 6 11-1
5 5 Uncut 12.00 6.1 11-1
6 6 Kingston Time 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Goldenlineof 2.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Red Nation 12.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Shanghai Levi 3.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Vita Dolce 4.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Guess First 20.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Gallant Bid 2.50 5.1 10-1
1 1 Reggae Pirate 30.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Gray’s Image 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Big Boy Bruno 3.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Lapochka 4.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Smoke ‘n’ Gloat 6.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Millionaire Runner 6.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Dr Harlan 8.00 4 8-1
5 5 Sensational Ride 1.80 4.2 8-1
2 2 Areyoutalkingtome 12.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Barrantes 2.50 2.7 5-1
8 8 More Than Usual 4.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Lets Play Hardball 3.50 3 6-1
5 5 My Boy Blue 12.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Souper Energizer 4.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Fiftyfive Strong 8.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Hooyah 10.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Obiwan 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Peruvian Boy 3.50 2 4-1
6 5 Zaino Boyz 6.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Golden Candy 4.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Crafty Conquest 10.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Small Reason 20.00 4 8-1
5 5 R U Lucky 1.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Stormy Nelly 2.00 2.8 5-1
4 3 Lena Horne 4.50 3.5 7-1
5 4 War Star 2.50 4.2 8-1
8 6 Prospective Diva 10.00 4.4 8-1
6 5 Over Gators 8.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Bahamian Girl 20.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Ballie’s Dream 4.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Shes All Woman 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Extraordinary 6.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Cornbread Kingdom 4.50 2.5 5-1
8 7 Rag Tag 1.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 My First Grammy 10.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Niles Channel 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 The Falcon 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Mukulwitz 20.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Tapi Frost 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 3 Rule Yourself 3.50 3.6 7-1
10 5 State of War 12.00 6.2 12-1
13 7 Snap Hook 6.00 6.2 12-1
12 6 Fantasizing 20.00 7.6 14-1
9 4 Krachenwagen 15.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 King Leonardo 15.00 8.5 16-1
2 2 Valdolobo (IRE) 1.80 SCRATCH
3 3 Bluesky Kitten 30.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Bad to the Core (FR) 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Doctor D J 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Belgrano 4.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Visions of You 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Bugle Barry 15.00 SCRATCH
4 2 Lookin Savvy 30.00 11.4 22-1
15 8 Strategic Outlook 30.00 11.6 22-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 American Ninja 4.50 2.8 5-1
5 4 Armchair Jockey 10.00 3.5 7-1
8 6 High Noon Rider 6.00 3.8 7-1
4 3 Dalarna 1.20 4 8-1
9 7 King Orb 6.00 4.2 8-1
7 5 Paddy O’Dini 20.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Totono 30.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Discreet Heat 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Alien Invasion 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Hurricane Bertie S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Wildwood’s Beauty 4.00 3 6-1
6 6 Nonna Madeline 4.50 3.2 6-1
8 8 Pauseforthecause 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Blamed 3.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Lady Kate 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Sally’s Curlin 6.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Heiressall 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Unholy Alliance 12.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 W W Fitzy 15.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Retro Street 5.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Yako 6.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Put Position 6.00 5 9-1
9 9 Paint the Corners 8.00 5.1 10-1
12 12 Trilby 4.50 5.4 10-1
2 2 Beach Dreaming 8.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Spicy Nelly 10.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Vitaemi 15.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Dance Till Dawn 10.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Bahama Kitten 15.00 7.1 13-1
11 11 Total Treasure 20.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Vinyardnina 30.00 9.1 17-1
13 13 Kiffle 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Nothins Free 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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