March 14, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Afleet Roger | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | He’s a Climber | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Silent Cry | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Zartastic | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jennovodka | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prime Hook | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dyna Ghost | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cabo Headache | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Amphibian | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Clever Racer | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Speedactus | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Malasong | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Highly Centsable | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Here Comes Homer | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Round Quarter | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sidney’s Hunch | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Yes My Son | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Classic Heath | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Callmechamp | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Roses n’ Rubies | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Fleet Run | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Grand Ty | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Millennium Force | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Listen Up | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jim’s Bronze Star | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Three Quarter Time | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Go Tweet | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hands Up | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stormy Merlot | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pink Posse | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Texas Promo Girl | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Half Dialed | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Lord Colliery | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | May Hour | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 9 | Oliver’s Prayer | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Such | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Whistling Wind | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Aw Shucks | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Alma Derby | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lion Rampant | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Cat On the Roof | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Heart Warrior | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Caeus in Pasadena | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1A | 13 | Smooth Man | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | See Carlos Run | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Lontano | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Broadcast Legend | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Two Point Oh | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Citrus Burst | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Haig Point | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Good One | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Salado | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | And He’s Loose | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dublin Yinz Money | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jupestar | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | Imperial Moment | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Egobuster | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr Leo | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Change Direction | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pocho’s Dream | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tapizart | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wicked Statement | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Messed Up | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Moro Pharoah | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ronnie’s Reasoning | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Red Camelia S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Net a Bear | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Room to Finish | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Eskenformore | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Is Too | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Tap Dance Star | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | Bermuda Star | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Thegrayspider | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mariah’s Galaxy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Tenpins Tempo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Marywood | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Mi Copa Rebosa | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Hyper Piper | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Freshman Class | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kizzy B | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Seattle Slang | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Orb’s Soul | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tizso Awesome | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tactful Susan | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Anima Gemella | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chick Be Quick | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Appealing Audrey | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | French Empire | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Grandezza | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Puca Penny | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Connectivity | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zurlin | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Awesome One | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Magical Peapod | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Glamour Gal | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fashion Island | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Romani | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Malibu Dawn | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Singita Dreams | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Good Old Charlie | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Our Bermuda | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Brokejaw | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | He’s a Believer | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Majestic Society | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stormie Court | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dale’s Lil Bro | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bigboyshowshart | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fire Giant | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Our Prince | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Unbridled Pulpit | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Charlie Gulch | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Fireman Sid | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.