Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 14, 2020

March 14, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Central Perk 4.00 SCRATCH
9 7 Love Me Tomorrow 2.50 1.5 3-1
3 2 Enough Love 1.20 1.7 3-1
2 1 Gringotts 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 4 Helen by Night 12.00 4.7 9-1
7A 5 Song for Emma 15.00 6.4 12-1
4 3 Lookbackandlaugh 20.00 7.1 13-1
8 6 Western Heist 20.00 7.4 14-1
5A 5 Pleasedontbounce 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Justice of War 2.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Legion Storm 1.80 1.6 3-1
1A 1 Our Stormin Norman 3.50 2.1 4-1
3A 3 Talent Scout 3.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Chuckles 10.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Seven Plus Seven 10.00 4.5 9-1
8 6 Beach Front 8.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Preternatural 15.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Conquistador 1.60 2.2 4-1
7 7 Mr. Mike 2.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Hostile Witness 5.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Fulfill 8.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Tipazo 6.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Grito de Pablito 20.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Colloquist 15.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Wisecrack 30.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Royal Albert Hall (GB) 8.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Armament 3.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Shalako 3.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Small Bear 3.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Outplay 10.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Crea’s Bklyn Law 2.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Swiping Dan 50.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Sunshine Gal 3.00 2.1 4-1
9 7 Teletype 4.50 2.9 6-1
6 6 Can U Handle This 12.00 SCRATCH
8 6 Big Bennys Tribute 5.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Abraxan 3.50 SCRATCH
4 3 Fair Lassie 6.00 4.5 9-1
5 4 Gentle Annie 10.00 5.4 10-1
3 2 Ok Honey 10.00 6.1 12-1
7 5 Floss Dancer 15.00 7.7 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Power Up Paynter 1.80 2.1 4-1
1 1 Polar Bear Pete 3.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Bongga 12.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Justin Front 3.00 3 6-1
2 2 Luxury Suite 6.00 4 8-1
8 7 Combat Ribbon 10.00 4.1 8-1
6 5 Skipin On Orchard 15.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Rejected Again 12.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dirty Bird 3.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Peggy Sue 2.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Awesome Debate 3.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Wailin Josie 5.00 3 6-1
3 3 Overtime Olivia 10.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Queendom 10.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Anydayisherday 12.00 6 11-1
2 2 Happy Sophia 15.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Correction S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Piedi Bianchi 2.50 1.6 3-1
1 1 Slimey 8.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Kept True 1.80 2.6 5-1
2 2 Bridlewood Cat 1.60 2.6 5-1
3 3 Sea Sparkle 20.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 I’mnotshyi’llbuy 30.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Nisha 20.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Honey Money 3.00 1.6 3-1
10 10 Darling’s Cure 5.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Leyte 8.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Charlotte Webley 8.00 4 8-1
6 6 Dancing Kiki 4.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Remoane 10.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Mopolka 10.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Calidad 12.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Imincomunicado 12.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Smokin Hot Kiss 20.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Steal My Heart 15.00 7.9 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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