March 14, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Central Perk | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
9 | 7 | Love Me Tomorrow | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
3 | 2 | Enough Love | 1.20 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
2 | 1 | Gringotts | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
6 | 4 | Helen by Night | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
7A | 5 | Song for Emma | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
4 | 3 | Lookbackandlaugh | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
8 | 6 | Western Heist | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
5A | 5 | Pleasedontbounce | 15.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Justice of War | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
5 | 4 | Legion Storm | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
1A | 1 | Our Stormin Norman | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
3A | 3 | Talent Scout | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
4 | 4 | Chuckles | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 5 | Seven Plus Seven | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
8 | 6 | Beach Front | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
2 | 2 | Preternatural | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Conquistador | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
7 | 7 | Mr. Mike | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Hostile Witness | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | Fulfill | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
8 | 8 | Tipazo | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Grito de Pablito | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
6 | 6 | Colloquist | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
4 | 4 | Wisecrack | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Royal Albert Hall (GB) | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
5 | 5 | Armament | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
4 | 4 | Shalako | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Small Bear | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
2 | 2 | Outplay | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Crea’s Bklyn Law | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
6 | 6 | Swiping Dan | 50.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 1 | Sunshine Gal | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
9 | 7 | Teletype | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
6 | 6 | Can U Handle This | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 6 | Big Bennys Tribute | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
1 | 1 | Abraxan | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
4 | 3 | Fair Lassie | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
5 | 4 | Gentle Annie | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
3 | 2 | Ok Honey | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
7 | 5 | Floss Dancer | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Power Up Paynter | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
1 | 1 | Polar Bear Pete | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
5 | 5 | Bongga | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
7 | 6 | Justin Front | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
2 | 2 | Luxury Suite | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
8 | 7 | Combat Ribbon | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
6 | 5 | Skipin On Orchard | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
4 | 4 | Rejected Again | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Dirty Bird | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
8 | 8 | Peggy Sue | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
5 | 5 | Awesome Debate | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
7 | 7 | Wailin Josie | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | Overtime Olivia | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
4 | 4 | Queendom | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
6 | 6 | Anydayisherday | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
2 | 2 | Happy Sophia | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Correction S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Piedi Bianchi | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
1 | 1 | Slimey | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
4 | 4 | Kept True | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
2 | 2 | Bridlewood Cat | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Sea Sparkle | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
6 | 6 | I’mnotshyi’llbuy | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
7 | 7 | Nisha | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | 11 | Honey Money | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
10 | 10 | Darling’s Cure | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
5 | 5 | Leyte | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
7 | 7 | Charlotte Webley | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
6 | 6 | Dancing Kiki | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
2 | 2 | Remoane | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
9 | 9 | Mopolka | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
3 | 3 | Calidad | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
8 | 8 | Imincomunicado | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
1 | 1 | Smokin Hot Kiss | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
4 | 4 | Steal My Heart | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.