Sports from the Basement

Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, March 13, 2020

March 13, 2020 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Sheshed 10.00 1 2-1
7 7 Traci’s Greeley 8.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Oh My Oh 2.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Vegan Goes Best 6.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Miz Nightcap 3.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Punish 5.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Haleys Heist 3.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Rivers of Lite 15.00 1 2-1
4 4 Grand Atlantic 8.00 1.2 2-1
9 8 Tough Company 3.50 1.3 2-1
2 2 Niall 20.00 1.3 2-1
10 9 Parolee 10.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 In the Deep 5.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Mayan Ghost 2.00 1.6 3-1
8 7 Delta Surprise 20.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Written Permission 8.00 2 4-1
7 7 First String 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Popular Kid 2.50 1.3 2-1
6 5 Pinson 10.00 1.5 3-1
7 6 County Court 3.00 1.8 3-1
5 4 Dukes Up 4.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Good Good 15.00 2.3 4-1
3 2 Hardly a Secret 6.00 4.7 9-1
4 3 First Masamune 15.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Moment 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Ella’s My Girl 30.00 1 2-1
4 4 Mocha Kiss 10.00 1.2 2-1
11 11 Zanshoes 15.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Dixie Wayne 12.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Julie Arkansas 15.00 1.3 3-1
9 9 Too Pretty 3.50 1.3 3-1
7 7 Lil’ Fancy 12.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Hightail Runaway 10.00 1.4 3-1
10 10 Hissy Missy 5.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Ms Sassy Atitude 6.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Line of Faith 20.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Lovely Lou 3.00 2.4 5-1
13 13 Dramatic Entrance 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Elizabeth Rules 15.00 1 2-1
8 8 Westlodge Intrigue 15.00 1.7 3-1
11 11 J P’s Gladys 10.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Backseat Promises 10.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 As Fast as You Can 3.50 2.9 6-1
10 10 Kalliste Rose 10.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Gemini Journey 15.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Showit 20.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Josie the E F Five 4.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Council Rules 5.00 8.6 16-1
7 7 C P Quality 4.50 10.6 20-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lilfeatheredindian 15.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Gypsy Wind 6.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Congrats Girl 15.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Mi Bella 10.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Dark Sarcasm 15.00 1.3 2-1
8 7 Southern Cents 6.00 1.4 3-1
9 8 Mebs Web 20.00 1.4 3-1
11 9 Sweet Kala 15.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Golden Lily 5.00 2 4-1
7 7 House Drunk 4.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Quiet Dawn 3.50 SCRATCH
12 12 It’s All Cash 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Fortheluvofbourbon 12.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Belews Gold 8.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Sycamore Run 3.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 American Butterfly 4.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Zyramid 8.00 3.4 6-1
9 8 Secret Biscuit 15.00 8.8 17-1
2 2 Cyril’s Boy 10.00 8.8 17-1
6 6 Echo Town 1.60 8.8 17-1
7 7 Play the Wildcard 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Temperence Hill S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Changi 20.00 1.2 2-1
8 7 Ucanthankmelater 20.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Croatian 15.00 2 4-1
3 3 Rated R Superstar 20.00 2.1 4-1
7 6 Remembering Rita 2.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Sky Promise 4.50 4 8-1
9 8 Roiland 10.00 4.8 9-1
10 9 Campaign 3.00 8 15-1
5 5 Tone Broke 8.00 9.6 18-1
6 6 Kurilov (CHI) 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Siete Leguas 15.00 1.1 2-1
7 6 North Side 2.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Heros Reward 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Cascade King 15.00 1.3 2-1
8 7 Son of Ga Ga 10.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Gumwrapper 12.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Mega Max 30.00 1.4 3-1
11 10 The Big Bluff 8.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Big Biz 12.00 1.4 3-1
10 9 Steeldriver 20.00 1.9 4-1
13 11 Recklessness 15.00 2.2 4-1
9 8 Fair Catch 4.50 2.4 4-1
12 12 Flexati 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Vaya Con Dios 2.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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