Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, March 13, 2020

March 13, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Shell Beach Party 2.50 2.5 5-1
7 7 De Pura Sangre 2.00 3 6-1
5 5 Crack of Dawn 3.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Fernanda 4.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Jimmys Lass 12.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Blame the Storm 12.00 4 8-1
6 6 Pazyarmonia 30.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Miriana’s Queen 20.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Tortola Pride 4.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Septemberten 1.60 2.9 5-1
5 5 Golden Idol 4.50 2.9 5-1
6 6 Parkland Strong 2.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Odds It’s Real 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Honor This 20.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Blue Blue Ice 1.20 2.6 5-1
5 5 Sabina Park 6.00 3 6-1
4 4 Take Charge Again 4.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Papa’s Little Girl 3.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Queen Kantharos 15.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Tong Shu 8.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Jeana’s Gem 3.50 2.9 6-1
2 2 Golden Ami 4.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Amadora 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Empire Moon 8.00 4 8-1
4 4 Bernie’s Mistress 10.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Asyena 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Sea Anna Dream 4.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Fancified 6.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 A Beautiful Day 3.50 4.8 9-1
8 8 Polished Copper 6.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Gravel Gertie 15.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Malibu Run 15.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Toned Up 20.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Josefa 15.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Positive Power 20.00 8.5 16-1
5 5 Big Boss Lady 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Frank First 3.50 4 8-1
4 3 Plato 6.00 4.1 8-1
6 4 Northbrook 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 2 Causalistic 4.50 4.7 9-1
1 1 Five of Hearts 0.00 SCRATCH
5 5 First Rate 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Princess Carrigan 4.00 3.7 7-1
8 7 Secret Miss 3.00 3.7 7-1
6 5 Foxy Lady 8.00 4.2 8-1
5 4 Two Cents Worth 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 3 Kerry It 20.00 5.7 11-1
3 2 Onezy’s Dream 20.00 6.6 13-1
1 1 One Hot Drama 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Marva 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Memorize 3.00 3.2 6-1
6 4 Tuesday’s Rose 3.50 3.6 7-1
8 6 Baby Ice 4.00 3.7 7-1
7 5 Gilda F. 10.00 5.5 10-1
4 3 Majestic Maiara 12.00 5.6 11-1
3 2 Shall Return 10.00 5.6 11-1
9 7 Salsa Rita 12.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 True Heiress 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Si Te Vas 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Candy Money 3.00 2.4 5-1
6 5 Ghostly Beauty 2.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Lookinlikeaqueen 2.50 3.2 6-1
5 4 Much About It 12.00 4.8 9-1
7 6 Just Sassy 20.00 5.3 10-1
4 3 Faith N Hope 15.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 La Chauffeur 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Joyous Times 3.50 3.3 6-1
8 8 Yolanda’s Pride 4.50 3.6 7-1
10 10 La Rusia 4.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Lemon Scat 8.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Interest 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Days of Spring 6.00 4.5 9-1
11 11 Just a Bit Sassy 10.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Kisses for Tizzy 15.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 I’ll Do It My Way 20.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Miss My Macho 20.00 8 15-1
1 1 Babybel 20.00 8.1 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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