March 13, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Limnery | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kulik Bear | 1.80 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Peace of Ekati | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Samaronti | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Irish Wind | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Passion Play | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Whatdatpay Ray | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Times Square | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Musical Man | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Pont Du Gard | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Martial Eagle | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Indimaaj | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Johny’s Bobby | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Fortune Ticket | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Established | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mine That Star | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Olson | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Carolina Airness | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Bucky | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Irish Paul | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ring of Fire | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Greenback | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Blessed With Luck | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Yashima | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Maga Country | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Ibeam | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Half Pipe | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Reluctant Warrior | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Amavi | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Charlie Hoss | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Creole Candy | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Jaci’s Royalty | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Les Paul | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Special Bingo | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Inca Warrior | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bing Bing | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Real Brave | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 8 | Putthehammerdown | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Muscadine | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Smart Arch | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Patriot | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Foggy Albion | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Atlas Moon | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Demi Patrick | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Captainontherocks | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Trueno | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hope for Change | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Boogie Shues | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Runciman | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Distored Half | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Miss Brookside | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Back Page Star | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Little Snip | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gymnastic | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | C Islandsurprise | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Forgotten | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Play On Becky | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Girls Life | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Little Princess | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kool Aid Girl | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Flatter the Queen | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dixie Beat | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Senor Blair | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Overanalyzfakenews | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sparky Sparkles | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mini Chunk | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Perfect Pirate | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | True West | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Warned | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Widdle Giant | 1.20 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ella’s Lil Star | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mattie E | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stang It | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Interslew | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sandy’s Wager | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rhett’s Racer | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cool Sis | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Emery’s Dream | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Iona Guitar | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lady Carlos | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mane Priority | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Diamond Lady | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crypto Brave | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lady Rad | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pray for Lisa | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Susurro | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our Lil Rascal | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Runaway Rae | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Daring Darian | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Jeb’s Lucky Eight | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Southern Light | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Amandas Lightening | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Eepoppork Time | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | First Metal Count | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One Tough Charlie | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Western Star | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flashlightsecurity | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.