Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, March 13, 2020

March 13, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Limnery 2.00 3.3 6-1
6 5 Kulik Bear 1.80 4.6 9-1
5 4 Peace of Ekati 12.00 6 11-1
3 2 Samaronti 10.00 6.1 11-1
10 8 Irish Wind 6.00 6.7 13-1
7 6 Passion Play 15.00 6.8 13-1
4 3 Whatdatpay Ray 15.00 7.2 14-1
2 1 Times Square 20.00 8.1 15-1
1 1 Musical Man 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Pont Du Gard 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Martial Eagle 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Indimaaj 3.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Johny’s Bobby 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Fortune Ticket 3.50 2.3 4-1
2 1 Established 4.50 3.2 6-1
9 9 Mine That Star 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 4 Olson 8.00 3.4 6-1
4 3 Carolina Airness 8.00 3.9 7-1
1A 6 Bucky 8.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Irish Paul 6.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Ring of Fire 12.00 5.6 11-1
11 10 Greenback 12.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Blessed With Luck 12.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Yashima 20.00 7.7 14-1
1 4 Maga Country 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Ibeam 8.00 4 8-1
11 10 Half Pipe 8.00 4.1 8-1
2 1 Reluctant Warrior 3.50 4.3 8-1
9 8 Amavi 4.50 4.4 8-1
6 6 Charlie Hoss 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Creole Candy 4.50 4.4 8-1
1A 5 Jaci’s Royalty 15.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Les Paul 8.00 5.6 11-1
12 11 Special Bingo 15.00 5.7 11-1
1 2 Inca Warrior 15.00 6 11-1
8 7 Bing Bing 30.00 8.6 16-1
5 5 Real Brave 20.00 SCRATCH
7 8 Putthehammerdown 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Muscadine 4.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Smart Arch 5.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Midnight Patriot 3.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Foggy Albion 8.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Atlas Moon 8.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Demi Patrick 8.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Captainontherocks 8.00 6 11-1
11 11 Trueno 20.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Hope for Change 20.00 7.1 14-1
10 10 Boogie Shues 30.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Runciman 20.00 7.5 14-1
12 12 Distored Half 30.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Miss Brookside 3.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Back Page Star 3.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Little Snip 4.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 Gymnastic 4.50 4.1 8-1
9 9 C Islandsurprise 8.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Forgotten 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Play On Becky 8.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Girls Life 20.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 My Little Princess 20.00 7.2 14-1
10 10 Kool Aid Girl 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Flatter the Queen 6.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Dixie Beat 3.50 3.6 7-1
9 9 Senor Blair 3.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Overanalyzfakenews 12.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Sparky Sparkles 12.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Mini Chunk 4.00 5 9-1
6 6 Perfect Pirate 12.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 True West 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Warned 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Widdle Giant 1.20 3.8 7-1
3 3 Ella’s Lil Star 4.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Mattie E 15.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Stang It 6.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Interslew 15.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Sandy’s Wager 12.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Rhett’s Racer 12.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Cool Sis 20.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Emery’s Dream 15.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Iona Guitar 15.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lady Carlos 5.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Mane Priority 4.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Diamond Lady 6.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Crypto Brave 6.00 3 6-1
10 10 Lady Rad 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Pray for Lisa 3.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Susurro 6.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Our Lil Rascal 15.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Runaway Rae 20.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Daring Darian 30.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Jeb’s Lucky Eight 4.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Southern Light 3.50 3.7 7-1
6 6 Amandas Lightening 3.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Eepoppork Time 6.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 First Metal Count 6.00 4 7-1
2 2 One Tough Charlie 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Western Star 10.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Flashlightsecurity 10.00 5.8 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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