March 13, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Bossy Bride | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Causin’ Trouble | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Cairo Queen | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | First Dawn | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Smiles From Sadie | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Orbilicious | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Heartstrings | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Our Ticket | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Singapore Trader | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shamrock Kid | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Three to Thirteen | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Foolish Ghost | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Vincento | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big Mountain | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Control Group | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Peter’s Project | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Microgram | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Mizzen the Mark | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Whispering Rose | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Masons Friend | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Molly’s Nighthawk | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moneybackguarantee | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Women Not Easy | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wicked Kheisha | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Derby Doll | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Holiday Belle | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cornetta’s Choice | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 10 | Emerald Ice | 50.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Sassy Secret | 50.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mills | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blame the Thief | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Business Cycle | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zonic | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eden Ridge | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | So Sublime | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Toohottoevenspeak | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Le Gros Bill | 50.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sparty Boy | 50.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Signified | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beg to Differ | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Frozen Account | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whichwaytomalibu | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A Vow of Beauty | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Liquor | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unrelenting Force | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Romanoatsee | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Constant Quest | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | True Palace | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Cavaradossi | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Impunity | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tale of Mist | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hardcore Folklore | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Coolboy | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mystical Song | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Nuclear Code | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Escape | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Deputy Flag | 99.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Musical America | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Han Sense | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Roaming Union | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Felix in Fabula | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Payne | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grumps Little Tots | 99.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Slimey | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 5 | Honor Way | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Forgotten Hero | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bluegrass Jamboree | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hay Field | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Queen Kahen | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Honey I’m Good | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fair Regis | 99.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Jakarta | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Geta Lode of Lucky | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Political | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Da Berg | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I Prowl Alone | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Honorable Avenue | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Unlikely | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Legend of Bam | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Try’n Smart’n Up | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Oneshotatforever | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Geils Rocks | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 14A | 12 | Liams Majesty | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6A | 5 | Oliver Witha Twist | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Our Papa G | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Blessed Honour | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.