Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, March 12, 2020

March 12, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Bellatrix’s Wand 2.50 2.3 4-1
7 5 Dancingwithjimmieb 3.50 3.9 7-1
4 3 Impression Given 3.00 4.2 8-1
3 2 Rosasparks 6.00 4.6 9-1
9 7 Princess Lacie 10.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Holly Hill 15.00 5.3 10-1
6 4 Her Zealous 20.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Undercover Outlaw 30.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Yasnai’s Law 30.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Tiny Turbo 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Too Stylish 10.00 3 6-1
12 11 Awesome Flyer 4.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Itsmyluckygirl 4.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Bella Bionda 15.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Nenita 10.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Harts N Flowers 3.50 4.5 8-1
11 10 Fury Song 6.00 4.6 9-1
10 9 Baby Sabrina 12.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Silver Nina 30.00 6.1 11-1
7 7 C Est Fast 50.00 9.3 18-1
2 2 Awesome Evil 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Pazyarmonia 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Subsidiary 1.80 2.2 4-1
2 2 Crumb Bun 2.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 Forever Marta 3.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Peace Control 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 My Sebastiana 12.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Chutzpah 8.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Union Lane 4.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Hechizada 2.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Signing Bonus 3.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Sheknowsthedrill 6.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Debbies Utube Diva 8.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Stamina Princess 6.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 La Viexa 12.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Water Wizard 20.00 6.1 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 1 Allegedly Perfect 6.00 4.4 8-1
8 5 Fluent in Sarcasm 5.00 5 9-1
6 3 Sail At Sunrise 8.00 5 10-1
12 8 Muskoka Storm 10.00 5.6 11-1
9 6 Conformity 15.00 7.8 15-1
5 2 Captured by Fate 15.00 8.2 15-1
11 7 Nassau Street 20.00 9.5 18-1
1 1 Caribbean Gold 3.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Uncle George 4.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Mukulwitz 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Maine 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Boss Onthe Horizon 20.00 SCRATCH
7 4 Sam’s Spirit 20.00 10.1 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bright Venezuelan 3.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Sweet Yare N Dira 1.20 3.2 6-1
3 3 Assail 10.00 3.4 6-1
7 5 Dixie Princess 30.00 5.1 10-1
5 4 It’s Easy to Say 20.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Heir Ball 2.50 SCRATCH
6 5 Vilaro 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Shanghai Moon 4.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Neverstopdreaming 3.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Quality On Tap 4.50 3.8 7-1
1 1 L’ Cristabal 8.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Roan Mountain 12.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 St Joe Viper 15.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Exatlon 20.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Congrats That 20.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Bazoo 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Music of Life 6.00 2.3 4-1
9 6 Bean Counter 4.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Champagne Horizon 6.00 4.4 8-1
3 2 Sassy Justice 8.00 5.6 11-1
7 5 Jen Take Charge 12.00 6.6 12-1
5 4 Augusta Moon 10.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 Mike’s Girl 5.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Kitten by the Sea 4.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Alizee 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Lil Miss Hot Mess 2.50 2.2 4-1
6 5 Addison 4.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Amelia Madelyn 3.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Reggae Revolution 6.00 3 6-1
5 4 Shellphone 15.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Tweet Away Robin 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Kuduro 4.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Dr. Doyle 3.50 2.9 6-1
1 1 Mystery Bank 6.00 3.8 7-1
10 9 Budget Buster 4.50 4.1 8-1
9 8 Arithmetic 8.00 4.9 9-1
11 10 Sobek 8.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 See the Pyramids 12.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Fortyeightstraight 12.00 7 13-1
4 4 Fork Union 15.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Winter At Bastogne 15.00 8.3 16-1
8 8 Towing 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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