March 11, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Alan’s Argument | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Truth Teller | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tapit On Race Day | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Venn | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beforehand | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Loveu and Proudofu | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tensas Gold | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Secret Vista | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dancehall Jack | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Imindycatbirdseat | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rahfees Man | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Star Banjo | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Greeley’s Dealer | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Queeten | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Joemo | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cajun Pinata | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Looking for Bull | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kid Creole | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | G’s Deadline | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Streettalkinhottie | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Commercial Flash | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | See Sassy Run | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fuhrcry | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Maw Maw’s Sophia | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Haute Cuisine | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Pal Charlene | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Piper’s Buttercup | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Harborage | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bad Gal Riri | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Beautifulandwild | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Bee Bit | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Breezy Bee | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Breakfast Pond | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Badgeri Candy | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Graceful Request | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Folly | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 8 | Barbess | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Singing Ontherail | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Girls in Charge | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Big Red Rose | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | No Time to Play | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Limage | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Baylor | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | C Islandsurprise | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Bold Rey | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Katie the Cutie | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Soaring Now | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Yes I’m Evil | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Rake It Up | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | North of Eden | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Color Me Pretty | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Four Princesses | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thai Chili Sue | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sundereya | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lady Blue | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 1 | Royal Alexandra | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Forgotten | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Temple Shadow | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Yonna She Goes | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 5 | Offspring | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Lookout Mountain | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Spartanburg | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 3 | Cicada’s Song | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Mi Copa Rebosa | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kodiak Sky | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 7 | Kris T. | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Irish Hustle | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 8 | Air Guitar Star | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Toodaloo to You | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | For Real Alice | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Smart | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Saintsation | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Signify | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Reunite | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Beautiful Bella | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Luminaire | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shelby Rose | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tormenta | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Dreamer’s Point | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Morning Stride | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Firewater Jake | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Don’task Don’ttell | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Victor Lounge (IRE) | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Skycraft | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Kearny County | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Murry Spur | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mucho Macho Bets | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tangled Web | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Altito | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 16 | Social Misfit | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Majestic Sign | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Don’t Split Tens | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | One Mean Man | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Beyond Smart | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Swiftown Miss | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dreamy Art | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Monarchos Prayer | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 8 | Active Girl | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Star Performer | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Veronica’s Dream | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Tough Kicks | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Diva’s Ransom | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rock the Jukebox | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lil Allie Dancer | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ole Black Magic | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.