Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, March 10, 2020

March 10, 2020 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Knokke by the Sea 3.00 1.5 3-1
1 4 My Man Elvis 3.50 SCRATCH
1A 4 Talking Point 3.50 2.9 5-1
2 1 Muntahez 4.50 3.2 6-1
3 2 Silverzar 2.50 3.4 6-1
5 5 Support Our Cause 6.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Curlin’s Knight 10.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Proud and Furious 8.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Chevy to the Levy 2.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Anissa 4.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 What About Tonight 3.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Livin a Dream 4.00 3 6-1
6 6 Initforthelonghaul 5.00 3 6-1
2 2 Natalie La Rose 10.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Rapidez 20.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Pretty Cool Cat 3.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Jumpin Jett 2.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Grande Beso 4.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 Fleur de Force 8.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Serious Happiness 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Midday Prayer 6.00 5 9-1
7 7 Galileo’s Affair 5.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mickey T 5.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Eclipsed Moon 2.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Honor and Courage 3.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Legacy’s Prince 8.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Quench My Thirst 10.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Free for Nothing 6.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Don Polo 8.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Jones Taxi 15.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Vocab 20.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Harper 1.80 2.3 4-1
1 1 Skip the Smalltalk 5.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Big Ray 4.50 2.5 5-1
7 7 Nothing Better 6.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Brilliant Chase 3.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 Violent Turbulence 8.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Uncommon Valor 10.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Atlantic Chill 12.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Dance and Dance 2.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 Pecan Pattie 1.60 2.2 4-1
5 5 Mia Gift 4.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Mija Bella 8.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Evil Woman 10.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Finishing School 12.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Sugar Streak 12.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 4 E J’s Revenge 3.00 1.8 3-1
2X 10 War Bridle 3.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Tale of E Dubai 2.50 2.8 5-1
6 5 Curious Cal 4.50 4 7-1
5 3 Brio Man 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 2 Mach Trial 8.00 4.4 8-1
9 8 Street Tail 6.00 5.1 10-1
8 7 Return of a Giant 8.00 5.4 10-1
1A 5 Under the Graydar 15.00 SCRATCH
3 1 Ironbound 20.00 7.3 14-1
1 3 Saratoga Wildcat 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Irish Cork 1.60 1.8 3-1
3 3 Bird King 1.80 2.2 4-1
2 2 New Commission 4.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Incite 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Admiral Eastwood 8.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Democratic 10.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Cinnabunny 4.50 1.9 4-1
7 7 Don’t Call Me Mary 6.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Akna 2.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Bella G 3.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Crazy Bea 5.00 3.2 6-1
1 2 Triple Jump 8.00 5.2 10-1
1A 6 Up Just in Time 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Bryce’s Philly 12.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Valiant Spirit 3.50 1.9 4-1
7 7 Parlapiano 3.00 3.4 6-1
11 11 Iza One 10.00 4 8-1
4 4 Deserted 8.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 It’s a Shaw Thing 4.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Zensational Dixie 8.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Little Neck 12.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Pastiche 15.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Lucky’s Ransom 20.00 8.2 16-1
1 1 Point Lockout 20.00 8.5 16-1
3 3 Willthisshipsail 20.00 8.7 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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