Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Monday, March 9, 2020

March 9, 2020 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 American Roma 1.50 1.9 4-1
8 8 Arrivederci 3.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Watch Your Words 6.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Marq One 4.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Midnight Harbor 8.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Gourmet Delight 15.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Ginner 20.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Very Colorful 30.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 King Koa 1.20 1.8 3-1
3 3 Miami Tiger 4.00 2 4-1
1 1 Stormy Justin 5.00 2.4 5-1
1A 7 Machtree 5.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Three Phase 3.00 3.3 6-1
7 8 Diamond Square 12.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Asphalt Paving 20.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Fist of Thor 20.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 2 Snidely 2.00 1.4 3-1
5 3 Bridlecrest 4.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Lotto 3.00 SCRATCH
7 5 Little Town Blues 5.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Asbury Ave 10.00 SCRATCH
8 6 Elregal 12.00 5 10-1
6 4 Railroad Bill 12.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Mossbawn 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 You Tell Me 2.50 2.7 5-1
1 2 Sight Line 1.60 3 6-1
6 5 Flying Rocket 12.00 3.6 7-1
1A 6 Drummer Don 1.60 SCRATCH
2 1 High Flying Guy 5.00 4.3 8-1
7 6 Rings of Jupiter 8.00 5 10-1
3 3 Sunshine Wild 15.00 6.4 12-1
9 8 Salutation 20.00 6.7 13-1
10 9 Gorsuch 20.00 6.8 13-1
8 7 Belly Dancer 30.00 8.4 16-1
4 4 Star Player 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 One Tough Rose 6.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Congrats Answer 2.50 SCRATCH
6 5 Arima 3.00 2.6 5-1
5 4 Bucky Be Lucky 8.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Risque’s Jewel 3.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Magicallydelicious 5.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Graceful Monarch 30.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Mabel Island 20.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Way Over Budget 1.80 1.5 3-1
6 6 Sunfest 6.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Discreet Cathy 4.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Hailey’s Way 1.60 3.1 6-1
2 2 Supergirl Power 15.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Kisskiss Telltell 20.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Georgia Bonnet 30.00 6 11-1
1 1 Bellamy Cat 30.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sunflower Rose 1.40 1.5 3-1
3 2 Second Bite 3.00 1.8 3-1
4 3 Landing Zone 3.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Bella G 8.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Madam Meena 6.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Grace and Peace 10.00 4.8 9-1
1A 5 Artemis Rising 10.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Long Gray Line 4.00 2.4 5-1
1 2 Aspen Xtreme 2.00 SCRATCH
9 8 True Blue 6.00 3.3 6-1
1A 8 Commandeering 2.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Dance for Oro 8.00 5.4 10-1
8 7 Flat Out Flying 5.00 5.4 10-1
3 2 Powerful Venezuela 12.00 5.4 10-1
4 3 Bumperdoo 10.00 6.2 12-1
5 4 Nobiz Like Jetbiz 12.00 6.5 12-1
2 1 Boss of Bourbon St 15.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Barley Jack 1.40 2.4 5-1
1 1 Fillupcohensapiker 4.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Prepossessing 20.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Getouttamyway 3.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Nth Degree 12.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Captain Sam 12.00 5 9-1
6 6 Nightlife 15.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 The Circle Game 10.00 5.9 11-1
8 7 Krissys Manicure 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 8 Geebert 1.80 1.4 3-1
12 9 Acere 4.50 3.3 6-1
10 7 Too Much Johnnie 3.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Louie’s Wish 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Vixsinsfantastkfox 15.00 SCRATCH
7 5 Off the Mark 10.00 5.4 10-1
3 2 Bradshaw 8.00 6.1 12-1
15 15 High Rider 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Community Court 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Finn’s Posse 20.00 SCRATCH
6 4 Rules 20.00 9.5 18-1
13 10 Cape May Style 20.00 9.8 19-1
9 6 Kinetic Strike 20.00 10.8 20-1
5 3 King Victoria 30.00 11.3 21-1
1 1 Devilry 30.00 11.9 22-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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