Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, March 8, 2020

March 8, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Goalie 2.50 2.5 5-1
8 8 I’m Leaving You 4.50 3.8 7-1
1 1 Cool Runnings 5.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Koko’s Kandy 5.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Rocks and Salt 6.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Pure Carmine 6.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Exhort 8.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Heywoods Beach 8.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Fratelli 1.80 2.1 4-1
1 1 Gate Speed 2.50 2.5 5-1
4 3 Afternoon Heat 2.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Fellow Citizen 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Cryin’ Chuck 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Monceros 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Papa Turf 1.80 2.5 5-1
4 4 Toothless Wonder 2.50 2.9 6-1
1 1 Boy Howdy 8.00 3 6-1
3 3 Shades of Victory 4.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Burn Me Twice 3.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Tiz Love 15.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Royal Seeker 30.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Don’t Blame Judy 4.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Bodhicitta (GB) 3.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Dogtag 2.50 3 6-1
8 8 Sold It 5.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Colonial Creed 5.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 K P Slickem 10.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Lakerball 12.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Confidentially 12.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Pasito 2.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Kirsch Truffle 4.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Manresa 3.50 4.2 8-1
6 6 Suezaaana 6.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Salsa Verde 8.00 6 11-1
1 1 Jemsek 8.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Subtle Ride 8.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Vannavanna Bo Bana 8.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Capo Mafioso 5.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Frasard (GB) 4.00 2.6 5-1
7 6 Media Blitz 2.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Ekklesia 3.00 3 6-1
8 7 Cosmo 8.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Keno’d 12.00 4.6 9-1
9 8 Dominant Soul 20.00 6.4 12-1
6 5 My Sunshine 30.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Leprino 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Santa Ysabel S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Donna Veloce 0.80 3 6-1
3 3 Speech 4.00 4.2 8-1
6 5 Paige Anne 8.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Gidgetta 5.00 4.7 9-1
7 6 Storie Blue 8.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Tiz Fake News 6.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Gingham 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Succeedandsurpass (IRE) 2.50 3.9 7-1
9 9 Avalanche 6.00 4.1 8-1
11 11 Odysseus 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Southern King 6.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Coast of Roan 8.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Take the One O One 5.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 The Street Fighter 8.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Dark Prince 15.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Contagion 12.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Lincoln City 15.00 8.1 15-1
12 12 Engram 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Asaro 20.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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