March 8, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | He’s the Souperwon | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Nice of Me | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Baozun | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Laughing Bobby | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Wellwest | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Runaway Wind | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 5 | Brenda’s an I Full | 1.80 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Daaherachel | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Smokin Hot Momma | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sucre | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Altered Dream | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Chases Dixie Belle | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | D J Soul Sista | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Little Snip | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Rock the Jukebox | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Carry the One | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Reach the Circle | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Standing Man | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Aw Ite | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Gentleman Charlie | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Toni’s Star | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Broadway Jones | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Boss Man | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Every Single Day | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Queen of Carnival | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Chikara | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Nodoubtabouther | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Surprise Arrival | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Jamie | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Twins Plus a Dot | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Always Grace | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Starlight Sister | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Aurora Pine | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Twist Off | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Greeley Can Win | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Time On Target | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rain Drop Kid | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Drunken Fridays | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Day | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lauriano | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Time to Stroll | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sneak Peek | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Illusionista | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Caribbean Kitten | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sense of Self | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Foxglove | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Polarcents | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Threewickedwishes | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Skiptease | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Malartach | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tap Your Front | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Dancealot | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 6 | Blue Steel | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Take Charge d’Oro | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Gotta Go | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Overzealous | 2.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cee R Bee | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Senor Friday | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bear Trappe | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Call the Colonel | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Run Tappy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | My First Guitar | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lucky Andy | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Love Conquers | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Jus Dream Big | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Much Class | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Rocket | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fire Lake | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | B Rasen | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Joemo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Greeley’s Dealer | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Dancehall Jack | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Mister Intuition | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Imindycatbirdseat | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Cajun Creed | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Sand Pit Road | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | King Cake | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | El Hombre | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Two Date | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Shaq Jack | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shoesfromthegitgo | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Halostar | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Izzy B Winn | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I Don’t Fly Coach | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | History Earned | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jr’s Sauvage | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Nomorequestions | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.