Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, March 8, 2020

March 8, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 He’s the Souperwon 4.50 3.2 6-1
4 3 Nice of Me 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Baozun 3.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Laughing Bobby 5.00 4 8-1
5 4 Wellwest 5.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Runaway Wind 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 5 Brenda’s an I Full 1.80 4.1 8-1
9 7 Daaherachel 4.50 4.4 8-1
4 2 Smokin Hot Momma 6.00 4.6 9-1
2 1 Sucre 3.50 5 9-1
5 3 Altered Dream 12.00 5.2 10-1
7 4 Chases Dixie Belle 20.00 6.2 12-1
1 6 D J Soul Sista 15.00 6.3 12-1
1A 10 Little Snip 15.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Rock the Jukebox 10.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Carry the One 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Reach the Circle 4.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Standing Man 3.00 2.6 5-1
5 4 Aw Ite 3.50 2.9 6-1
7 6 Gentleman Charlie 8.00 3.2 6-1
6 5 Toni’s Star 4.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Broadway Jones 3.50 3.8 7-1
4 4 Big Boss Man 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Every Single Day 2.50 2.7 5-1
3 2 Queen of Carnival 6.00 2.9 6-1
7 6 Chikara 3.00 3.4 6-1
8 7 Nodoubtabouther 6.00 3.8 7-1
9 8 Surprise Arrival 4.50 4.1 8-1
1 1 Miss Jamie 12.00 4.3 8-1
5 4 Twins Plus a Dot 20.00 6.5 12-1
6 5 Always Grace 20.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Starlight Sister 10.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Aurora Pine 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Twist Off 3.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Greeley Can Win 3.50 2.9 5-1
7 7 Time On Target 5.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Rain Drop Kid 8.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Drunken Fridays 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Day 5.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Lauriano 5.00 4 8-1
8 8 Time to Stroll 15.00 6.1 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sneak Peek 3.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Illusionista 5.00 2.7 5-1
10 9 Caribbean Kitten 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Sense of Self 6.00 3.6 7-1
8 7 Foxglove 4.50 3.6 7-1
11 10 Polarcents 8.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Threewickedwishes 12.00 4.1 8-1
9 8 Skiptease 12.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Malartach 20.00 6 11-1
1 1 Tap Your Front 30.00 7 13-1
7 7 Lady Dancealot 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 6 Blue Steel 3.50 3.1 6-1
6 5 Take Charge d’Oro 5.00 3.7 7-1
2 1 Gotta Go 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 4 Overzealous 2.00 4.5 8-1
4 3 Cee R Bee 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 2 Senor Friday 8.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Bear Trappe 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Call the Colonel 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Run Tappy 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 My First Guitar 6.00 5 9-1
8 7 Lucky Andy 5.00 5.2 10-1
6 5 Love Conquers 3.00 5.2 10-1
7 6 Jus Dream Big 4.00 6 11-1
2 2 Much Class 8.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Royal Rocket 8.00 7 13-1
5 4 Fire Lake 8.00 7.4 14-1
11 10 B Rasen 20.00 9.9 19-1
4 4 Joemo 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Greeley’s Dealer 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Dancehall Jack 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Mister Intuition 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Imindycatbirdseat 3.50 SCRATCH
16 16 Cajun Creed 4.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Sand Pit Road 20.00 10.4 20-1
9 8 King Cake 20.00 10.4 20-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 El Hombre 3.00 3 6-1
4 4 Two Date 4.50 3.6 7-1
10 8 Shaq Jack 4.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Shoesfromthegitgo 12.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Halostar 3.50 4.5 8-1
7 6 Izzy B Winn 20.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 I Don’t Fly Coach 20.00 6.7 13-1
9 7 History Earned 12.00 7 13-1
6 6 Jr’s Sauvage 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Nomorequestions 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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