March 7, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Seize the Hay | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Juulstone | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mecha Corta | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Holy Emperor | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Abrupt | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Queen’splate Nolan | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Magical Court | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stonecastle | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Shes One Mad Momma | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Creative Award | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sizzling Roma | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lapis Storm | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blue Chicory | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Princess Robbi | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shanghai Mistress | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Express Boy | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Three Deep | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Poseiden | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Speedy Hans | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ninetydaysofwinter | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chinomadito | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Seifert | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Amano | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spiritual King | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tapaloof | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Scanno | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Express Pharoah | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prince Igor | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Skyray | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Port Hunter | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Silent Tiger | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Krammy Boy | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Colormepompom | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Karma King | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cabre | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gemologister | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shidoshi | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Particularity | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bourbon Street | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cigar Box | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bridologist | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Three Hombres | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Putin Online | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Metcalf | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bychance | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Oblio’s Wish | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | La Incondicional | 1.40 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Charge It Jenn | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Run Blondie Run | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Samis Car | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Starship Gussie | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Liberale (FR) | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Curious Zelda | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Calais Cove | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Imperial Cut | 50.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Giocare | 1.40 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Don Bourbon | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bear Alley | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silver Maker | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Obiwan | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | River Stones | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Silks Run S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Shekky Shebaz | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Carotari | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Archidust | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fig Jelly | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sturgeon | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fielder | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Elusive Mischief | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Oldies But Goodies | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Unbridled Holiday | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | French Quarter | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lil Commissioner | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gray Beau | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Just Kidding | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ty Ran a Homer | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Pango | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kyle | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Captiva Island S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Keota | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bohemian Bourbon | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Girls Know Best | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Violent Times | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Hidden Facts | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | I’llhandalthecash | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Knarsdale | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Charmaine’s Mia | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lovesick | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nikee Kan | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mae Never No (IRE) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Kitten’s Covergirl | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Jean Elizabeth | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Bering Strait | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | No Way Jose (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dreams Are Made | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | All Quality | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Hitch Hiker | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Scat Mommy | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dark Mission | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Concerned | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cariba | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Adamant | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Designing | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.