Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 7, 2020

March 7, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Seize the Hay 3.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Juulstone 2.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Mecha Corta 3.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Holy Emperor 4.50 3 6-1
5 5 Abrupt 10.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Queen’splate Nolan 8.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Magical Court 15.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Stonecastle 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Shes One Mad Momma 3.50 2.8 5-1
7 6 Creative Award 2.50 3 6-1
1 1 Sizzling Roma 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Lapis Storm 4.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Blue Chicory 10.00 5.3 10-1
6 5 Princess Robbi 12.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Shanghai Mistress 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Express Boy 3.50 2 4-1
4 4 Three Deep 1.60 2.2 4-1
7 7 Poseiden 8.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Speedy Hans 4.50 2.9 5-1
2 2 Ninetydaysofwinter 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Chinomadito 8.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Seifert 15.00 4.5 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Amano 4.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Spiritual King 6.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Tapaloof 3.50 3 6-1
3 3 Scanno 3.00 3 6-1
2 2 Express Pharoah 4.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Prince Igor 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Skyray 12.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Port Hunter 20.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Silent Tiger 6.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Krammy Boy 4.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Colormepompom 3.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Karma King 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Cabre 2.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Gemologister 12.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Shidoshi 20.00 6 11-1
3 3 Particularity 20.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bourbon Street 3.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Cigar Box 3.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Bridologist 2.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Three Hombres 8.00 3 6-1
7 7 Putin Online 4.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Metcalf 10.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Bychance 20.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Oblio’s Wish 20.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 La Incondicional 1.40 3.5 7-1
2 2 Charge It Jenn 3.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Run Blondie Run 4.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Samis Car 20.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Starship Gussie 12.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Liberale (FR) 6.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Curious Zelda 30.00 5 9-1
7 7 Calais Cove 30.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Imperial Cut 50.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Giocare 1.40 1.5 3-1
6 6 Don Bourbon 1.60 2.2 4-1
5 5 Bear Alley 4.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Silver Maker 8.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Obiwan 8.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 River Stones 20.00 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Silks Run S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Shekky Shebaz 1.60 2.7 5-1
2 2 Carotari 2.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Archidust 3.50 3.6 7-1
7 7 Fig Jelly 6.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Sturgeon 12.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Fielder 12.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Elusive Mischief 20.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Oldies But Goodies 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Unbridled Holiday 3.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 French Quarter 3.00 3.2 6-1
6 5 Lil Commissioner 4.00 3.4 6-1
5 4 Gray Beau 6.00 3.4 6-1
7 6 Just Kidding 4.50 3.8 7-1
4 3 Ty Ran a Homer 10.00 5.5 10-1
8 7 Pango 10.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Kyle 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Captiva Island S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 7 Keota 4.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Bohemian Bourbon 8.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Girls Know Best 3.50 4.8 9-1
3 3 Violent Times 10.00 5.3 10-1
12 9 Hidden Facts 15.00 6.9 13-1
10 8 I’llhandalthecash 15.00 7.2 14-1
13 10 Knarsdale 20.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Charmaine’s Mia 20.00 7.7 14-1
7 6 Lovesick 20.00 9.2 17-1
2 2 Nikee Kan 30.00 9.9 19-1
6 6 Mae Never No (IRE) 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Kitten’s Covergirl 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Jean Elizabeth 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Bering Strait 5.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 No Way Jose (IRE) 6.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Dreams Are Made 4.00 4.2 8-1
11 11 All Quality 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Sweet Hitch Hiker 3.50 4.4 8-1
6 6 Scat Mommy 10.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Dark Mission 12.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Concerned 12.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Cariba 12.00 7 13-1
8 8 Adamant 20.00 8.4 16-1
2 2 Designing 20.00 8.6 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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