March 7, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bootsie’s Galaxy | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brother Richie | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Whacudposblygowrng | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Bayou | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tactical Priority | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shot On Windy Hill | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Picacho Peak | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Logical Myth | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | King of Candy | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Singapore Flash | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Clear for Action | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Antarctic | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Uncle Andrew | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Singita Dreams | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Where Y’at Joe Joe | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beto | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | John’s Luck | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Autumn Warrior | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Booth Road Shine | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cheers to Berti | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mediamaker | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Oneholylion | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hero of Gold | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cry Like a Baby | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rivetrix | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kenai Cool | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Custom for Carlita | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | My My My | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Paper Doll | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wish for Interest | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hot and Ready | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gio Angel | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Typhoon Zing | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Trefoil | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Distractor Factor | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Somekindawicked | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gottabegolden | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She’s Our Star | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wind Zee | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Knockalittlelouder | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Letithappencarlos | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Production | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Izzy’s Baby Boy | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hermano T K | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bet Again | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bayou Bode | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | Ekaterinoslav | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Ballyhack | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sunrise Kitten | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Arabian Story | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1A | 8 | Kaliningrad | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Irish Hokie | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Taamer | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Traelee | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Great in Red | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gilded Apple | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Guilty Confession | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Playin N Traffic | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ezee Enough | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sugar Pie Street | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lil Ashley B. | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | American Mom | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Little Girls Rule | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Allen Black Cat Lacombe Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Pranked | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jezebel’s Kitten | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dominga | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Embossed | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Audrey’s Time | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dawn’s Dancer | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Wexx | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Urbana | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trickle In | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Miss You Jo | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Confederate Yell | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Three Run Homer | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jacobs Flyer | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Victory Bind | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ellerbe | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mikey’s Mouse | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Glory Music | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Band Boss | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Saved At Sea | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.