Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 7, 2020

March 7, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bootsie’s Galaxy 2.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Brother Richie 4.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Whacudposblygowrng 4.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Midnight Bayou 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Tactical Priority 5.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Shot On Windy Hill 6.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Picacho Peak 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Logical Myth 3.50 2.5 5-1
6 5 King of Candy 4.50 2.9 6-1
3 3 Singapore Flash 4.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Clear for Action 1.60 3.3 6-1
4 4 Antarctic 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Uncle Andrew 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Singita Dreams 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Where Y’at Joe Joe 3.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Beto 4.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 John’s Luck 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Autumn Warrior 6.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Booth Road Shine 8.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Cheers to Berti 3.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Mediamaker 10.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Oneholylion 8.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Hero of Gold 2.50 3.3 6-1
8 7 Cry Like a Baby 5.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Rivetrix 8.00 4 8-1
7 6 Kenai Cool 6.00 4.6 9-1
5 4 Custom for Carlita 3.50 5.1 10-1
6 5 My My My 8.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Paper Doll 6.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Wish for Interest 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Hot and Ready 6.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Gio Angel 2.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Typhoon Zing 12.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Trefoil 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Distractor Factor 3.50 4.4 8-1
9 9 Somekindawicked 4.50 4.6 9-1
6 6 Gottabegolden 12.00 5 10-1
5 5 She’s Our Star 12.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Wind Zee 20.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Knockalittlelouder 4.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Letithappencarlos 2.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Mr. Production 5.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Izzy’s Baby Boy 6.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Hermano T K 6.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Bet Again 3.50 5.3 10-1
7 7 Bayou Bode 8.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 5 Ekaterinoslav 2.50 2.6 5-1
4 3 Ballyhack 5.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Sunrise Kitten 3.50 2.9 5-1
3 2 Arabian Story 3.00 2.9 6-1
1A 8 Kaliningrad 2.50 3.1 6-1
5 4 Irish Hokie 8.00 3.5 7-1
2 1 Taamer 6.00 4 8-1
6 6 Traelee 20.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Great in Red 3.00 3 6-1
1 1 Gilded Apple 2.00 3 6-1
9 8 Guilty Confession 10.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Playin N Traffic 3.50 3.6 7-1
5 5 Ezee Enough 8.00 4 8-1
2 2 Sugar Pie Street 12.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Lil Ashley B. 20.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 American Mom 10.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Little Girls Rule 30.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Allen Black Cat Lacombe Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Pranked 4.00 2.7 5-1
6 5 Jezebel’s Kitten 3.00 3.7 7-1
9 8 Dominga 2.50 3.7 7-1
2 1 Embossed 6.00 4.1 8-1
5 4 Audrey’s Time 10.00 4.7 9-1
8 7 Dawn’s Dancer 12.00 4.9 9-1
3 2 Wexx 10.00 5.4 10-1
7 6 Urbana 15.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Trickle In 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Miss You Jo 4.00 4 8-1
8 8 Confederate Yell 2.50 4.2 8-1
6 6 Three Run Homer 4.50 4.5 9-1
2 2 Jacobs Flyer 8.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Victory Bind 8.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Ellerbe 8.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Mikey’s Mouse 20.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 The Glory Music 20.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Band Boss 20.00 7.6 14-1
10 10 Saved At Sea 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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