March 7, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Striking Speed | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
1 | 1 | Cousin Andrew | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
5 | 4 | Semper Fi | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
6 | 5 | Bold Victory | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
2 | 2 | Continuation | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
7 | 6 | Will Sing for Wine | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
3 | 3 | Fixation | 50.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Love and Love | 0.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
7 | 7 | Alphadora | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | Questeq | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
8 | 8 | Fair Lassie | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
2 | 2 | Lem Me Have It | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
5 | 5 | Lookbothways | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
6 | 6 | Diamond N Simon | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
3 | 3 | My Last Million | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | 9 | Prince of New York | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
2 | 2 | Soul Fight | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Mine the Coin | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
5 | 5 | Bronxville | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
8 | 8 | Violent Delights | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
12 | 12 | The Honest Toun | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
7 | 7 | True Blue Giant | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
4 | 4 | Cause for Applause | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
10 | 10 | Mac’s Revolution | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
6 | 6 | Smidge | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
3 | 3 | Larceny | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
11 | 11 | Fotis | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Our Secret Agent | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
7 | 6 | Pure Wow | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
8 | 7 | Brassy | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
3A | 3 | Gracefully | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
10 | 9 | Plea | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
1 | 1 | Ghosting Kim | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
12 | 10 | Lucky Lindsey | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
5 | 4 | Mama Kin | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
9B | 8 | Smart Set | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
4A | 4 | Dare to Try | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
11B | 11 | Lady Mechanic | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 5 | Superbloodwolfmoon | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Tiergan | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
4 | 4 | Ten Twenty Nine | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
9 | 7 | Quickflash | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 | |
1 | 1 | Freudian Sip | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
7 | 5 | Leap to Glory | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
5 | 3 | Morgantown | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
8 | 6 | Nueva York | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
3 | 2 | Coolboy | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
6 | 4 | Possetizzly | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
10 | 8 | Centrist | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | 11 | A d’Oro | 4.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
8 | 8 | Chasing Losses | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
3 | 3 | Queen Kimberly | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
13 | 13 | Thunderturtle | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
2 | 2 | Kitten Heels | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
7 | 7 | Mia Calia | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
10 | 10 | Lottie’s Mizzion | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
1 | 1 | Mountain Maid | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
6 | 6 | Painite | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
4 | 4 | Banque de Margaux | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
9 | 9 | Pasture Princess | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
14 | 14 | Queentigua | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
12 | 12 | Helmers Run | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
16 | 16 | Big Red Girl | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
15 | 15 | Menzamenz | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
5 | 5 | Irena N Ella | 50.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Stymie S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Diamond King | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
4 | 4 | American Anthem | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
5 | 5 | Wicked Trick | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Stan the Man | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
7 | 7 | Backsideofthemoon | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
3 | 3 | Joevia | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
2 | 2 | Lone Rock | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Tom Fool H.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Mind Control | 1.40 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
5 | 5 | Happy Farm | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
7 | 7 | Wentz | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
8 | 8 | Skyler’s Scramjet | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
1 | 1 | Mr. Dougie Fresh | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
6 | 6 | Bon Raison | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
2 | 2 | Sicilia Mike | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
3 | 3 | Wonderful Light | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Busher Invitational S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Maedean | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
8 | 8 | Inveterate | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
5 | 5 | Lake Avenue | 1.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
1 | 1 | Mo City | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
6 | 6 | Water White | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
7 | 7 | Persisto | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
3 | 3 | Panthera Onca | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
2 | 2 | Kansas Kis | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Gotham S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | 10 | Untitled | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
6 | 6 | Mischevious Alex | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | War Stopper | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
7 | 7 | Sixto | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
8 | 8 | Montauk Traffic | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
4 | 4 | Attachment Rate | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
2 | 2 | Informative | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
5 | 5 | Necker Island | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
9 | 9 | Flap Jack | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
1 | 1 | Celtic Striker | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
11 | 11 | First Deputy | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.