Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 7, 2020

March 7, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Striking Speed 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Cousin Andrew 1.80 1.5 3-1
5 4 Semper Fi 8.00 1.8 3-1
6 5 Bold Victory 6.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Continuation 2.00 2.9 5-1
7 6 Will Sing for Wine 8.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Fixation 50.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Love and Love 0.80 2.3 4-1
7 7 Alphadora 3.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Questeq 8.00 4 8-1
8 8 Fair Lassie 12.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Lem Me Have It 10.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Lookbothways 8.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Diamond N Simon 15.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 My Last Million 20.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Prince of New York 8.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Soul Fight 3.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Mine the Coin 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Bronxville 8.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Violent Delights 4.50 4.2 8-1
12 12 The Honest Toun 10.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 True Blue Giant 8.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Cause for Applause 8.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Mac’s Revolution 15.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Smidge 15.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Larceny 20.00 7.1 13-1
11 11 Fotis 30.00 9.4 18-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Our Secret Agent 4.50 1.9 4-1
7 6 Pure Wow 3.50 2 4-1
8 7 Brassy 5.00 2.9 5-1
3A 3 Gracefully 6.00 3.9 7-1
10 9 Plea 6.00 4 8-1
1 1 Ghosting Kim 8.00 5 9-1
12 10 Lucky Lindsey 8.00 7 13-1
5 4 Mama Kin 12.00 7.7 15-1
9B 8 Smart Set 12.00 8.2 16-1
4A 4 Dare to Try 6.00 SCRATCH
11B 11 Lady Mechanic 12.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Superbloodwolfmoon 15.00 10.1 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tiergan 5.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Ten Twenty Nine 8.00 SCRATCH
9 7 Quickflash 1.60 3 6-1
1 1 Freudian Sip 4.50 3.4 6-1
7 5 Leap to Glory 8.00 3.5 7-1
5 3 Morgantown 6.00 3.6 7-1
8 6 Nueva York 15.00 5.2 10-1
3 2 Coolboy 20.00 5.7 11-1
6 4 Possetizzly 20.00 7.2 14-1
10 8 Centrist 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 A d’Oro 4.00 1.9 3-1
8 8 Chasing Losses 3.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Queen Kimberly 12.00 2.8 5-1
13 13 Thunderturtle 8.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Kitten Heels 4.50 2.9 6-1
7 7 Mia Calia 10.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Lottie’s Mizzion 12.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Mountain Maid 12.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Painite 15.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Banque de Margaux 20.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Pasture Princess 20.00 6.8 13-1
14 14 Queentigua 30.00 7.7 15-1
12 12 Helmers Run 30.00 8.5 16-1
16 16 Big Red Girl 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Menzamenz 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Irena N Ella 50.00 13.2 25-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Stymie S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Diamond King 3.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 American Anthem 3.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Wicked Trick 2.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Stan the Man 4.50 3.1 6-1
7 7 Backsideofthemoon 8.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Joevia 6.00 4 8-1
2 2 Lone Rock 12.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Tom Fool H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mind Control 1.40 2.8 5-1
5 5 Happy Farm 2.50 3.4 6-1
7 7 Wentz 6.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Skyler’s Scramjet 8.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Mr. Dougie Fresh 10.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Bon Raison 12.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Sicilia Mike 15.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Wonderful Light 10.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Busher Invitational S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Maedean 2.50 2.4 5-1
8 8 Inveterate 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Lake Avenue 1.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Mo City 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Water White 8.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Persisto 12.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Panthera Onca 15.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Kansas Kis 15.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Gotham S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Untitled 4.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Mischevious Alex 3.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 War Stopper 5.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Sixto 8.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Montauk Traffic 6.00 4 7-1
4 4 Attachment Rate 4.50 4 8-1
2 2 Informative 15.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Necker Island 12.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Flap Jack 30.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 Celtic Striker 30.00 10.1 19-1
11 11 First Deputy 30.00 10.2 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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