Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Friday, March 6, 2020

March 6, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Rosey Sky 4.00 3 6-1
8 8 Jetovator 3.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Summer Fire 5.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Rookie Mistake 2.50 4.6 9-1
4 4 Preaching Trainer 5.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Rinse and Repeat 8.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Lucky Ms Jones 12.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Jen Go Unchained 12.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Shades of Victory 0.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Rick’s Dream 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Lil Sydney 4.00 2.6 5-1
12 12 Equipo A 12.00 3 6-1
7 7 King Parker 5.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Alibi for Mischief 8.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Moana Luna 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Shared 15.00 4 8-1
13 13 Rossman 6.00 4.5 9-1
9 9 See Through It 12.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Git On Your Pulpit 6.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Calder Vale 15.00 5 9-1
14 14 Bobs Blues Man 12.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Royal Ranger 15.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Unmasked 50.00 10.5 20-1
11 11 Wicked Blue 50.00 11.8 22-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lucky Romano 2.50 2 4-1
6 6 Red Valor 4.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Kidmon 4.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Tromador 3.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Norski 6.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Elite Motion 6.00 4 8-1
2 2 Blue Skye Jade 12.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Smiling Shirlee 1.80 2.1 4-1
6 6 Whoa Nessie 3.50 2.4 4-1
1 1 Desert Smoke 3.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Time for Ebby 2.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Shanghai Barbie 8.00 4 8-1
3 3 Baby Boo 12.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Big City Bane 2.50 3 6-1
4 4 Squared Straight 6.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Audace 6.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Brace for Impact 4.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Tropical Terror 4.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Zero Down 6.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Burnin Turf 12.00 6 11-1
6 6 Racetrackers 12.00 6 11-1
1 1 Saturday Johnny 20.00 8.6 16-1
10 10 Bud Knight 2.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Fravel 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Unusually Handsome 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Kylemore 5.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Impression 3.50 2.6 5-1
8 8 Conquest Cobra 3.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Captivate 3.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Fabozzi 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 Concur 6.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Cabin John 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Uno Dancer 20.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tig Tog (IRE) 2.50 2.4 5-1
9 9 Sugary 3.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Wind Tartare (FR) 6.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Kynance (IRE) 8.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Flying to the Line 5.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Red Bunting (IRE) 10.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Take a Leap 8.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 So Much Happy 12.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Mongolian Window 12.00 7.8 15-1
10 10 Senoradiablo 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Hoffa’s Union 4.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Justin’s Quest 6.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Street Class 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Boogalute 6.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Dreams of Valor 6.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Lambeau 5.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Tartini 8.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Synthesis 8.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Dark Hedges 12.00 8.9 17-1
9 9 Sash (GB) 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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