Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, March 6, 2020

March 6, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 The Cairo Kid 2.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Luv the Painter 30.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Cecil the Lion 30.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Welling 1.40 1.3 3-1
2 2 Sea Ghost 2.50 1.6 3-1
1 1 Due West 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Cool Man Cletus 8.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Always Forgiven 15.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Kosher Kontract 3.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Dapper Mun 5.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Cape Lookout 2.50 3.7 7-1
7 7 Baptize the Boy 6.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 El Dulce 3.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Special Freedom 2.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Thunderinthevalley 6.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Gold Finch 4.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Eloquent Lady 3.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Devilish Affair 8.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Did I Stutter 4.50 1.5 3-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4A 4 Greek God 2.00 1 2-1
6A 6 Magician’scalendar 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Grosco (MEX) 10.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Blame the Kids 8.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 Incubator 3.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 Free to Trump 15.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Quit Your Moanin 6.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Elusive Hero 2.50 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Conjecture 6.00 0.6 1-1
3 3 Hell of Afire 3.50 1.1 2-1
1 1 Wicked Awesome 3.50 1.1 2-1
4 4 Caramel Cream 4.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Artful Splatter 1.20 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Overbold 5.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Ego Trip 8.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Sassy King 3.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Marylander 4.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Marden 3.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Paul the Waiter 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Shak’s Hidden Gem 30.00 0.8 1-1
3 3 Money Fromheaven 2.50 1.2 2-1
2 2 My Queen Michelle 2.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Saltworks 4.50 1.3 2-1
6 6 Song of the Night 2.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Black Kettle 8.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Rough Sea 10.00 2 4-1
4 4 Seany P 15.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Popizar 4.50 2.6 5-1
8 8 Mungojerrie 4.50 4.5 8-1
1 1 Benintendi 1.60 7.8 15-1
5 5 Captain Thunder 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Hobe Sound 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Royal Crusader 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Joyful Noise 12.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Lady Kim 10.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Highland Lass 6.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 My T Talk 8.00 4.5 8-1
9 9 Prank Call 3.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Slewzer 10.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Castle Ridge 4.50 6.7 13-1
1 1 Fender Baby 3.50 8.7 16-1
5 5 Barbsgray Lion 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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