March 6, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Timing | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Icy Dude | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lost in Rome | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hostile Witness | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lightning Rob | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Judiths Cougar | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky E | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | John Want Revenge | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7A | 6 | Bears Mafia | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5A | 4 | Purchasing Power | 1.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sargeant Drive | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Dooley | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Somebody | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Inclunation | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Local Edition | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Vineyard Sound | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Kid d’Oro | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Freudian Fate | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Boy Mo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Hot Brown | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bank Gala | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Apex Predator | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Disciplanarian | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Teletype | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dazzling Speed | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wisconsin Night | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bourbon High | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Barbara P | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kinky Sox | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Moon Over Victoria | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Our Ticket | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Here Comes Helen | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Spin Your Partner | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Amos | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Deep Space | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dancing Slippers | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Here Comes Bubbles | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flattering Eyes | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ukiah | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Magical Romance | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | The Important One | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Left Leaning Lucy | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bella Invasion | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 3 | Rude Awaking | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Wedontbelieveher | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ms. Malevolence | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Punk Rock Princess | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Wicked Amber | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3A | 3 | Starting Point | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Promo Code | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Later Cat | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vintage Hollywood | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Family Biz | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Local Counsel | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Latin Love Bug | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7A | 7 | Spectator Sport | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sicilia Mike | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 9 | Identity Politics | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chateau | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vorticity | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Legit | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Hoffenheim | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Explorationist | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mr. Dougie Fresh | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Topper T | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Hawaiian Noises | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9A | 8 | The Sicarii | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Seethisquick | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Look Out Jayce | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Daithi | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Wesworld | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Brian’s Last Song | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Dangerous Edge | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Go Rudy Go | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dawn’s Early Light | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Box of Rain | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Number One Dillon | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Chiricahua | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Boardwalk Bob | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Imperio D | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Beta | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Macho Boy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 10 | Yah Huh | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Broadway Joe | 50.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.