Sports from the Basement

Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, March 5, 2020

March 5, 2020 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Suspect the Worst 15.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 Portion 3.00 1.4 3-1
1A 10 Cinnafrijole 4.50 1.5 3-1
3 2 Shes Got Me Going 30.00 2.6 5-1
5 4 Michelle’s Grace 2.00 2.6 5-1
7 6 Count Ur Bless’n 10.00 2.7 5-1
4 3 Willow Moon 4.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Keene’s Desire 20.00 4.1 8-1
2 1 Warm Beauty 8.00 8.9 17-1
1 7 Flora Grove 4.50 9.9 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Revenio 12.00 1.1 2-1
7 6 Agitator 8.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 First Citizen 4.50 1.2 2-1
3 3 Jacks Fire Balls 3.50 1.4 3-1
8 7 Lido Legacy 4.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Ronamo 2.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 We’re Still Here 6.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Awesome Ekati 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Frigid 4.50 0.7 1-1
10 11 Hush Y’all 10.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Athenasway 20.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 Western Attire 12.00 1.6 3-1
2 1 Italian Justice 2.00 2 4-1
5 5 Settle It 8.00 2.2 4-1
3 2 Wacca Wacca Wacca 15.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Flat Precious 20.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Frontier Woman 12.00 3.4 6-1
1A 10 Fiesta in Vegas 2.50 3.5 7-1
1 4 Fairy 2.50 10.9 21-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Millie’s an Angel 2.50 1 2-1
11 10 Ella’s My Girl 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Dues Paid 10.00 1 2-1
4 4 Be Done With It 12.00 1 2-1
7 6 Black Patent Shoes 12.00 1 2-1
9 8 B’s Lil’ Bumblebee 12.00 1 2-1
3 3 Cloudywithachance 15.00 1.1 2-1
10 9 Hamazing Marnie 30.00 1.1 2-1
12 11 Thursday Morning 10.00 2.4 4-1
8 7 Lynne T 8.00 3 6-1
5 5 Laneys Love 3.50 5.3 10-1
6 6 Bay’s Beauty 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Always Grace 4.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Wild Dez 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 9 Heart’s Passion 6.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Northern Connect 30.00 1.5 3-1
12 10 Wise Eyes 12.00 1.5 3-1
8 6 Anita Marie 8.00 2.4 4-1
4 3 Louise the Laser 2.50 3.1 6-1
3 2 High Class Euro 5.00 4.9 9-1
5 4 Staythirstymyamigo 3.00 5.8 11-1
9 7 Dave’s Baby Girl 20.00 6.1 12-1
10 8 She’s a Lucky One 15.00 6.4 12-1
7 5 Critter 30.00 8.5 16-1
2 2 Ms Fifty First St. 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Never Sober 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Desha 20.00 0.8 1-1
3 3 Molly’s Game 12.00 1 2-1
5 5 Road Test 2.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Mostly Awesome 15.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Cowgirl Callie 3.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Sexy Dance 20.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Lady Cleopatra 8.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 H. M. S. Pinafore 6.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Moonlight Train 3.00 8.7 16-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 The Great Dansky 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Haney Boys 6.00 1 2-1
9 8 Jealous Eyes 8.00 1 2-1
8 7 Maybe a Spider 12.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Beaver Hat 15.00 1.1 2-1
5 4 I Lived It 20.00 1.1 2-1
6 5 Rip It Ryan 12.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Shanghai’s Dream 4.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Onaway 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Sabrena’s Bling 10.00 0.4 1-1
7 7 Lullaby Bling 15.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Best of Greeley 30.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Augie 5.00 1.3 3-1
12 12 Jungle Warfare 8.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Impressed 6.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Naughty Alfred 12.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Star of Kodiak 3.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Market King 20.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Nice Work 20.00 3.8 7-1
11 11 Alkhaatam 12.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Strike That 3.50 11.3 21-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Caribbean (AUS) 3.50 2.5 5-1
9 9 Starring John Wain 8.00 4 8-1
12 11 Mutineer 4.50 4.5 8-1
3 3 Parade Field 12.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Take Charge Now 20.00 5 9-1
2 2 Knowyouroptions 20.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Peppered 10.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Mica Bay 4.50 8.5 16-1
1 1 Majors Vindication 30.00 8.8 17-1
11 11 Dealin’ Stelen 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Botero 12.00 11 21-1
7 7 Tracking Gold 4.00 11.1 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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