March 5, 2020 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Suspect the Worst | 15.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Portion | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1A | 10 | Cinnafrijole | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Shes Got Me Going | 30.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Michelle’s Grace | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Count Ur Bless’n | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Willow Moon | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Keene’s Desire | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Warm Beauty | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 7 | Flora Grove | 4.50 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Revenio | 12.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Agitator | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | First Citizen | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jacks Fire Balls | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lido Legacy | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ronamo | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | We’re Still Here | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Awesome Ekati | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Frigid | 4.50 | 0.7 | 1-1 |
| 10 | 11 | Hush Y’all | 10.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Athenasway | 20.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Western Attire | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Italian Justice | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Settle It | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Wacca Wacca Wacca | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flat Precious | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Frontier Woman | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1A | 10 | Fiesta in Vegas | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 4 | Fairy | 2.50 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Millie’s an Angel | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Ella’s My Girl | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dues Paid | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Be Done With It | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Black Patent Shoes | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | B’s Lil’ Bumblebee | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cloudywithachance | 15.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Hamazing Marnie | 30.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Thursday Morning | 10.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lynne T | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Laneys Love | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bay’s Beauty | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Always Grace | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Wild Dez | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 9 | Heart’s Passion | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Northern Connect | 30.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Wise Eyes | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Anita Marie | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Louise the Laser | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | High Class Euro | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Staythirstymyamigo | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Dave’s Baby Girl | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | She’s a Lucky One | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Critter | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ms Fifty First St. | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Never Sober | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Desha | 20.00 | 0.8 | 1-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Molly’s Game | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Road Test | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mostly Awesome | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cowgirl Callie | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sexy Dance | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lady Cleopatra | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | H. M. S. Pinafore | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moonlight Train | 3.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | The Great Dansky | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Haney Boys | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Jealous Eyes | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Maybe a Spider | 12.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beaver Hat | 15.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | I Lived It | 20.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rip It Ryan | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shanghai’s Dream | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Onaway | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Sabrena’s Bling | 10.00 | 0.4 | 1-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lullaby Bling | 15.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Best of Greeley | 30.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Augie | 5.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Jungle Warfare | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Impressed | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Naughty Alfred | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Star of Kodiak | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Market King | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nice Work | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Alkhaatam | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Strike That | 3.50 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Caribbean (AUS) | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Starring John Wain | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Mutineer | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Parade Field | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Take Charge Now | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Knowyouroptions | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Peppered | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mica Bay | 4.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Majors Vindication | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dealin’ Stelen | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Botero | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tracking Gold | 4.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.