Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, March 5, 2020

March 5, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Embrace My Uncle 3.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Holy Muchacho 3.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Uno Baby Bird 5.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Starship Bubba 4.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Super Edgar 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Aycapote 8.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Consilium 10.00 5.9 11-1
2 98 At the Beach 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 So Charming 1.60 2.2 4-1
1 1 Talkthetalk 4.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Andi’s Kitten 4.50 3 6-1
7 7 Shikaka 3.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Strella’s War 10.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 She Fled the Scene 10.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Golden Tap 12.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Uncaptured Ruby 4.50 2.1 4-1
7 6 Shining Colors 2.50 2.1 4-1
2 1 Rhythm Tree 3.50 2.4 5-1
5 4 Marialuisa 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 3 Crack of Dawn 10.00 4 8-1
3 2 Fiery Princess 20.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Pasatime 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Starship Tribbles 2.50 2 4-1
6 6 Comic Kitten 4.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Night Watch 3.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Feature Creature 6.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Algodonal 6.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Fantastic Kingdom 8.00 5 9-1
4 4 Janet B Doesit All 10.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 American Phenom 2.50 1.2 2-1
1 1 Givemetwenty 4.50 2.5 5-1
7 6 Sea Trident 6.00 2.6 5-1
8 7 Lanse Mitan 4.00 2.8 5-1
5 4 More Like It 12.00 4.8 9-1
6 5 Living Vicariously 10.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Extra Dough 12.00 6 11-1
4 4 Strong Ending 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bold Script 1.80 1.8 3-1
1 1 Guacamole 3.50 2 4-1
6 6 Bella Ciao 2.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Take Chargechristy 4.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Bimini 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Helping Lisa D 10.00 5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 7 Golconda (FR) 6.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Fiber Optic 2.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Hire the Lady 3.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Nilestar 4.50 4.2 8-1
8 6 Paula Andrea 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Cat’s Astray 8.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Anjali 12.00 6.1 12-1
10 8 Trixie’s Time 20.00 8.1 15-1
6 6 Blue Eyed Beth 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Blue Chicory 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Up in Smoke 2.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Let’s Be Honest 4.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Richies Great Girl 1.80 3 6-1
6 6 Merseyside 10.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Aunt Nadine 10.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Belladonnia 6.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Bahamian Girl 20.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Takestwotowiggle 30.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bahamian Prince 1.60 2.3 4-1
2 2 No Nay Maybe (IRE) 4.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Miami Crockett 6.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Remaster (IRE) 1.80 3 6-1
3 3 Bolt 12.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Fentynola 20.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Pricey Victory 20.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Sarasota Boy 30.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Don’t Get Khozy 3.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Fiamma Mamma 6.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Midnight Gem 6.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Probably Grace 6.00 3.5 7-1
5 4 Afandi 8.00 3.9 7-1
7 6 Blessed Beast 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Fast Venezuela 4.50 4.6 9-1
10 9 Marching In 10.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Magicgirl 10.00 5.9 11-1
9 8 Crown Real 20.00 7.8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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