March 5, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Pure Valor | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Seeley | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Swinging Galaxy | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | King’s Prayer | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Remember Me Pop | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Classical Dubai | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nocomet | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Geaux Dubai | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Jailhouse Kitten | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Handsome Honey | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I’m d’Cat | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Surge Pricing | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Souper Catch | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zing Zang | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Go for Moonshine | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Good Intent | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thunder and Rain | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Costa Alot | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Compromising | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nana’s Joy | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz One Fee | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Charzee Baby | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Theboyzgalaxy | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bernadettes Vision | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Just Cruising | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Star Gaze | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Im a Cowboy Too | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Payday Too | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Magic Vow | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Theoryintopractice | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Papa’s Boy | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Run Rocket | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Power Jet | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Cabo’s Rumor | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Louisiana Moon | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Rifle Man | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Impressive Student | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Why Joey Why | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Krafty Boy | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Miss Imperial | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Celia’s Song | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Proposition | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Beautiful Tale | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Miz Shelton | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Curlington | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Reach the Moon | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | A. K. Safari | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Alfons Walde (IRE) | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Buy Me Candy | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Man of Honor | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Pintxos | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Whata Perfect Day | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hoffa | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Truth Teller | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 6 | Half Again | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Curious Case | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | One More Jump | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Commander Scott | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hostile Afleet | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Coach O | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Goodrockinalvin | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 5 | By Our Love | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Finest Saber | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Daddy Cool Cat | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Prince Carlos | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Chocolate Kisses | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Poster Girl (GB) | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Queen of Beas | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Aife | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fullness of Life (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Makealitlemischief | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lounge Act | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lunar Approach | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Corluna | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Ms Louisa | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Madison’s Place | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lassie’s Last Hour | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Boston Honey | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Half Heroine | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Awishforgreeley | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Orthodox Beat | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gerrie Lou | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lady Brooklyn | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.