Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, March 4, 2020

March 4, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Halfy 3.50 1.6 3-1
7 7 American Goddess 6.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Summer in the City 6.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Coin the Phrase 4.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Notorious R B G 4.00 2.8 5-1
10 9 Gotta Go Mo 10.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Mane Attraction 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Meadow Beauty 8.00 4.3 8-1
9 8 May I 15.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Favorite Sin 20.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 R U Lucky 1.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Inter Miami 3.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Gran Casique 6.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Absolute Grit 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Flaming Hot 4.50 3.7 7-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Blame the Gods 2.50 2.4 5-1
8 8 Zodiac Princess 3.50 2.6 5-1
6 6 Magic River 6.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Karenina 3.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Savvy Cairo 8.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Rooney 10.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Henny’s Treasure 12.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Zip It Jess 20.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Shazzy B 2.00 1.6 3-1
3 2 Run Devil 3.50 1.6 3-1
2 1 Sweden 3.00 2.6 5-1
7 6 Goodbye Gaby 4.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Tokyo 6.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Gitana 20.00 5.1 10-1
6 5 Lucy’s Interest 20.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Magic Street 4.50 1.8 3-1
7 6 Shamrocket 3.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 Backanbleu 20.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Souper Watson 6.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Proven Strategies 1.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Weatherford 15.00 4.6 9-1
6 5 Mr Nappy 12.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Venezuelan Hug 20.00 6.1 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bourbon Currency 2.50 SCRATCH
2 1 New York Style 3.00 2 4-1
6 6 Speed Effect 4.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Vegas Kitten 4.00 3.6 7-1
7 5 Wise to Listen 6.00 4.5 8-1
8 6 Bye Bye Man 8.00 4.9 9-1
3 2 Jack B Winkle 8.00 5.2 10-1
4 3 Lucky Mike 8.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 11 Donegal Aces 4.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Sultry Samurai 3.50 2.6 5-1
9 9 Shahkaar 8.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Money Come 6.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 London Werewolf 4.50 4.3 8-1
6 6 Congrats This 10.00 6.5 12-1
13 12 Uncle Gregory 10.00 7 13-1
1 1 El Zeus 12.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Free Flayme 15.00 8.5 16-1
4 4 Major Kelly 15.00 8.5 16-1
11 11 Lil Bull 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 All Star Seiler 20.00 9.3 17-1
3 3 Cowboy Bob 20.00 9.8 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Swirling Candy 3.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Roman City 4.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 La Cara Bonita 3.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Drop a Hint 2.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Sue’s Monster Baby 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Silver Tunes 15.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Alafia 30.00 6 11-1
7 7 Afrolina 30.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Earthquake 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Silverly Enough 2.50 2.8 5-1
8 6 Smash 4.00 3 6-1
7 5 Makabim 3.00 3.7 7-1
5 4 Harper Go Lucky 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Point Winner 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Beinfun 12.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Like You 10.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Subtle Joy 2.50 2.1 4-1
14 14 Bettin Onna Kitten 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Bee Wings 3.50 2.3 4-1
12 12 Cat’s J N J 6.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Better Begin 3.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Im Thirsty Too 10.00 5.8 11-1
11 11 Silver Palms 10.00 5.9 11-1
13 13 Snow and Lillylynn 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Special Beach 20.00 8.6 16-1
10 10 Dama de Noche 20.00 8.7 16-1
4 4 Emilia Strong 30.00 10.3 19-1
5 5 Powerful Words 30.00 10.4 20-1
8 8 Lovely Lee 30.00 10.7 20-1
7 7 La Gata Negra 30.00 11.1 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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