March 4, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Halfy | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | American Goddess | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Summer in the City | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Coin the Phrase | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Notorious R B G | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Gotta Go Mo | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mane Attraction | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Meadow Beauty | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | May I | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Favorite Sin | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | R U Lucky | 1.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Inter Miami | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gran Casique | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Absolute Grit | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flaming Hot | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Blame the Gods | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Zodiac Princess | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Magic River | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Karenina | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Savvy Cairo | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rooney | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Henny’s Treasure | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zip It Jess | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Shazzy B | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Run Devil | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sweden | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Goodbye Gaby | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tokyo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Gitana | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lucy’s Interest | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Magic Street | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Shamrocket | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Backanbleu | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Souper Watson | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Proven Strategies | 1.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Weatherford | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mr Nappy | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Venezuelan Hug | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon Currency | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | New York Style | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Speed Effect | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Vegas Kitten | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Wise to Listen | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Bye Bye Man | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Jack B Winkle | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lucky Mike | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 11 | Donegal Aces | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sultry Samurai | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shahkaar | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Money Come | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | London Werewolf | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Congrats This | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Uncle Gregory | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | El Zeus | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Free Flayme | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Major Kelly | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lil Bull | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | All Star Seiler | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cowboy Bob | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Swirling Candy | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roman City | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | La Cara Bonita | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Drop a Hint | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sue’s Monster Baby | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silver Tunes | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Alafia | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Afrolina | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Earthquake | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Silverly Enough | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Smash | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Makabim | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Harper Go Lucky | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Point Winner | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Beinfun | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Like You | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Subtle Joy | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Bettin Onna Kitten | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Bee Wings | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Cat’s J N J | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Better Begin | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Im Thirsty Too | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Silver Palms | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Snow and Lillylynn | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Special Beach | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dama de Noche | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Emilia Strong | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Powerful Words | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lovely Lee | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | La Gata Negra | 30.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.