Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, March 3, 2020

March 3, 2020 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Untouchable U 2.50 1.6 3-1
1 1 Miss Lamborghini 20.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Lendar 1.60 2.1 4-1
5 4 Trappe Me Later 3.50 2.3 4-1
6 5 Crystal Pier 5.00 2.5 5-1
2 1 Velocita Brillante 6.00 2.6 5-1
7 6 Mrs. Crews 15.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 If You Only Knew 2.50 1.6 3-1
1 1 Rose of Dublin 4.50 2.5 5-1
7 7 Sweet Blame 1.60 2.8 5-1
3 3 Midday Prayer 6.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Dereya 15.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Twitter Storm 8.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Phyllis Driller 15.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Graves Island 2.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Red Razzo 2.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Owin I Am 3.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Cowboy Mz 3.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Drosselmagic 8.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Clear Prosperity 15.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Mach Trial 1.80 SCRATCH
1 1 Jack O Liam 4.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Incensed 2.50 3.2 6-1
8 8 Indygo Breeze 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Lunar Rover 12.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Final Ritual 15.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Good Save 20.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Truly a Moon Shot 20.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Social Media 20.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Textpectation 3.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 Star Luck 1.80 1.8 3-1
7 7 Grays the Bar 4.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Just Exploded 6.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Duck Ducky Goose 5.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Twoforonespecial 6.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Deseronto 20.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Prota 20.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 4 Shanghai Superfly 1.80 1.4 3-1
5 5 Grit’n’grind 4.50 2.2 4-1
2 1 Bolita Boyz 2.50 3.3 6-1
1 4 Halite 1.80 SCRATCH
3 2 Wonderfully Tuned 3.50 3.6 7-1
6 6 Gilded Warrior 12.00 5.4 10-1
4 3 They Shot Sonny 10.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Karen’s Gem 2.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 Blissful Breeze 3.50 2 4-1
3 3 Double the Bet 6.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Bow Town Cat 4.50 4.8 9-1
6 6 Bourbon Honey 10.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Prospective Belle 8.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 What About Tonight 8.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 American Ali 10.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Flashndynamite 1.80 SCRATCH
2 1 Peach Alley 2.50 3 6-1
6 6 Love On Fire 3.50 SCRATCH
4 3 Sally O’Prado 4.50 4.2 8-1
3 2 Stormbeam 6.00 4.3 8-1
1A 5 Creative Princess 5.00 5.2 10-1
1 4 Littlemissbusiness 5.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Whistling Birds 3.50 2 4-1
1 1 Ruby Bleu 2.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Dirt in Your Face 4.00 2.8 5-1
7 6 Boyd Crowder 8.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Navy Commander 5.00 3.6 7-1
8 7 Grasshoppin 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Infuriated 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Trilogy 15.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Merger of Banks 10.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Readyheartandsoul 1.80 2.5 5-1
2 2 Secret Secret 6.00 2.9 6-1
5 4 Dreamy Martini 3.50 3 6-1
1 1 J R Jellybean 8.00 3.4 6-1
6 5 Colorado Grandslam 4.50 4.2 8-1
4 3 Sunrise Saturday 10.00 5.6 11-1
8 7 My Pirate 10.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Very Colorful 20.00 SCRATCH
7 6 R Jolley Dreamer 15.00 7.5 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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