Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, March 1, 2020

March 1, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Sorriso 3.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Bench Judge 3.50 2 4-1
8 7 Mr. Clutch 6.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Desert Swarm 4.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Watch the Dip 3.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Stir the Pot 12.00 4 8-1
2 2 Sierra Melody 20.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 War Maker 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Beau Rocket 2.50 2.7 5-1
2 1 Whoa Nessie 1.60 2.8 5-1
5 4 All Tea All Shade 1.40 3.5 7-1
4 3 Semi Sweet 4.50 4.9 9-1
1 1 Tapitha Bonita 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Fire When Ready 2.50 2 4-1
5 5 Buster Douglas (BRZ) 2.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Freiburg 4.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Awhitesportscoat 3.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 Black Storm 3.50 4.5 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Winning Element 1.60 1.6 3-1
2 2 Treasure Hunter 2.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 El Huerfano 2.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Dia de Pago 5.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Mongolian Hero 8.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Holly Hundy 3.00 2 4-1
2 2 Storming Lady 3.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Littlefirefighter 6.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Sold It 2.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Devils Dance 4.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Mischiffie (IRE) 8.00 4.5 8-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Coilette 3.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Vallestina 5.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Girona 3.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Leading Indicator 2.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Incredibly Lucky 6.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Fairly Lucky 10.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Fracas 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Tiznow S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Oliver 3.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Ernie Banks 4.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Tiger Dad 2.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Fashionably Fast 1.40 2.7 5-1
4 4 Posterize 8.00 3.4 7-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Street Behavior 6.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 A Man’s Man 2.50 2.1 4-1
7 7 Brix 3.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Malakai Moxie 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Royal Aspirations 8.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Hammering Lemon 4.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Handsome Cat 8.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Street Demand 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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