Sports from the Basement

Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, March 1, 2020

March 1, 2020 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Red Lingerie 15.00 0.8 1-1
3 2 Revealing Quality 6.00 0.8 1-1
8 7 Kimberly Frances 5.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Clay’s Moon Stone 4.50 1.5 3-1
7 6 Weekend Madness 3.00 1.8 3-1
5 4 Shackadelic 6.00 2.3 4-1
6 5 Santa Ana Winds 2.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Azlynn’s Dreamer 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Giddymeister 12.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Air Power 8.00 1.7 3-1
4B 4 Dingdingdingding 4.50 2.9 6-1
6 6 Plumbago 10.00 3.8 7-1
9 8 Get the Bling 15.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Avail Ekati 8.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Bubbas Dixie 3.50 5.5 10-1
1A 1 Chief of Staff 2.50 7 13-1
7B 7 Pete Marwick 4.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Match Play 10.00 SCRATCH
11A 11 R Fast Life 2.50 SCRATCH
12 9 Southsider 12.00 10.1 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Make Noise 10.00 0.9 2-1
1 1 Deflater 20.00 1.1 2-1
6 5 Hidden Ruler 4.00 2.8 5-1
5 4 Exultation 3.00 2.9 5-1
4 3 Vice Versa 2.50 4 8-1
3 2 Benny Chang 3.50 5.7 11-1
2 2 New Colossus 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Arkansas Invasion 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Bonita’s Gold 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Dramatic Entrance 20.00 1.1 2-1
11 11 Elusive Secret 12.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Cyber Affair 3.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Daddy’s Storm 15.00 2.4 4-1
10 10 Lucky Road 3.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Laura Belle 8.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Rich Princess 15.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Danzig Star 12.00 4.4 8-1
12 12 Daddy’s Angel 20.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Banker Nita 12.00 5.4 10-1
13 13 Princess Simone 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Sing a Song Too 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Catdaddy 8.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Tapsolute 8.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Eisenstaedt 2.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 Curlin Rules 4.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Mighty Manfred 10.00 4 8-1
4 4 Matrooh 2.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Attentive 6.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 The Mary Rose 4.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Florida Bird 4.50 2.2 4-1
7 7 Oochie 20.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Matapan 3.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Savedbyanangel 2.50 5.2 10-1
1 1 Bettyann 12.00 6 11-1
4 4 Tiddly 6.00 6.6 13-1
9 9 Lucky Every Day 15.00 7.7 15-1
3 3 Owe Her One 20.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Touchofchilipepper 20.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Nashville Knight 15.00 1.3 3-1
3 3 Sovereign Impact 8.00 2.5 5-1
9 8 Mojovation 12.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Touching Rainbows 2.50 6.2 12-1
5 5 Basic Chance 8.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Awesome Anywhere 3.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 D’ Rapper 4.50 7.3 14-1
8 8 The Red Dude 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Powerful Ally 6.00 0.9 2-1
4 3 Thetrashmanscoming 15.00 1.1 2-1
9 7 Lenstar 10.00 1.2 2-1
6 5 Rocking the Boat 12.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Super Dude 4.50 2.5 5-1
7 6 Colonelsdarktemper 8.00 2.7 5-1
5 4 Exclamation Point 2.50 8.7 17-1
3 3 Shivermetimbers 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Operation Stevie 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Imeanttopay 15.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Wild World 15.00 1.1 2-1
8 8 Pewter 12.00 2 4-1
1 1 Mr. Unusual 12.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Rahaal 12.00 2.4 4-1
10 10 Run Away Bett 5.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Went 10.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 The Dustman 3.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Kinetic Swagger 8.00 3.7 7-1
11 11 Copper Mountain 12.00 3.8 7-1
12 12 Not Fade Away 10.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Campaign Spy 4.00 4.4 8-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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