March 1, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Rapstorerocks | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Tempesta | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Shangassah | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Stormy Splash | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Still Schemin | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Proud Country | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Monetized | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Cuy | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Berry Hill | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fayez | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | At the Beach | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Cab Beef | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bee Bridge | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Love of Glory | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Markistan | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smitten for Smitty | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bratouttahell | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mystic Comin Home | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Queen Abarrio | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Honest Gal | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | I’m a Ginger | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zangarva | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | C Est Fast | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bordini | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Swagger | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Combination | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Travy Boy | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Drop Kick | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ray’swarrior | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Arrivederla | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Summer Sangria | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Myfirstexwife | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Truly Ambitious | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sick Society | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Jewel | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Aztec Moon | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shell Beach Party | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Just Like Indy | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Captured Light | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hidden Scroll | 0.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lord Adare | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Unpublished | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stealth | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vita Dolce | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Noon Time Gem | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kingsville | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Mylastfirstkiss | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gibberish | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Striking Beauty | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Skinny Dip | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Estilo Talentoso | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Four Graces | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiznoise | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweden | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Nikki and Papa | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Opry | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Road to Meath | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bourbon in May | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Motataabeq | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Counter Offer | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Surf and Turf | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flawless Bourbon | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Zalza | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dr Harlan | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Charge Card | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Jamaican | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Karen’s Cove | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Desert General | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Avast Matey | 8.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Steady Earner | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pachanga Party | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Areyoutalkingtome | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crazy Frank C | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Particularity | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Colormepompom | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Cabre | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Stolen Identity | 30.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Oskar Blues | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Sky D | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | King of Leinster (IRE) | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Stuck With You | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ding Dong Ditch | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Malibu Music | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Preacher Marsee | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mon Chevalier | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | A I Initiative | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Guess First | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gone Diesel | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Millionaire Runner | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quality Special | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fives Wild | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Tangible | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | False Accusation | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lawyer Drill | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | American River (VEN) | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sky Point | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rattle’m | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cape Marco Drive | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Organic Jenny | 30.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Drama in Dixie | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | King of Ranch | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Castagno | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Bacano | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | On the Turf | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Handsome Lil Devil | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Rebelde | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Storm Risk | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Conquer | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Northbrook | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Earthquake | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Harper Go Lucky | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Silverly Enough | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Recess | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Katieleigh | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Elite Appeal | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Barbadolla | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | For Kicks | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Stated | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Get Rewarded | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Whiskarita | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grey Manners | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Noble Intentions | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Blame the Gods | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Karenina | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Zodiac Princess | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Magic River | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Margie Music | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tell Me Maux | 30.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.