Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, March 1, 2020

March 1, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Rapstorerocks 3.50 3.5 7-1
11 10 Tempesta 4.50 4 8-1
3 2 Shangassah 8.00 4.7 9-1
6 5 Stormy Splash 12.00 4.8 9-1
13 12 Still Schemin 8.00 5.6 11-1
5 4 Proud Country 20.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Monetized 10.00 5.9 11-1
12 11 Cuy 20.00 6.8 13-1
8 7 Berry Hill 20.00 7.2 14-1
7 6 Fayez 15.00 7.3 14-1
9 8 At the Beach 12.00 7.6 14-1
10 9 Cab Beef 30.00 9.5 18-1
2 2 Bee Bridge 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Love of Glory 10.00 3 6-1
6 6 Markistan 4.00 4 8-1
2 2 Smitten for Smitty 10.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Bratouttahell 8.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Mystic Comin Home 3.50 4.3 8-1
4 4 Queen Abarrio 6.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Honest Gal 3.00 4.5 9-1
10 10 I’m a Ginger 15.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Zangarva 30.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 C Est Fast 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bordini 1.80 2.2 4-1
6 6 Swagger 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Combination 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Travy Boy 3.50 3.9 7-1
7 7 Drop Kick 8.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Ray’swarrior 4.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Arrivederla 12.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Summer Sangria 1.80 2.5 5-1
3 3 Myfirstexwife 2.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Truly Ambitious 4.50 2.7 5-1
7 7 Sick Society 12.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Royal Jewel 6.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Aztec Moon 15.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Shell Beach Party 20.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Just Like Indy 30.00 7 13-1
2 2 Captured Light 30.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Hidden Scroll 0.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Lord Adare 4.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Unpublished 8.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Stealth 10.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Vita Dolce 20.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Noon Time Gem 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Kingsville 15.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Mylastfirstkiss 6.00 3.4 6-1
5 4 Gibberish 5.00 3.4 6-1
8 6 Striking Beauty 10.00 3.9 7-1
9 7 Skinny Dip 4.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Estilo Talentoso 12.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Four Graces 15.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Tiznoise 20.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Sweden 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Nikki and Papa 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Opry 2.00 2 4-1
3 2 Road to Meath 4.50 2.4 5-1
6 5 Bourbon in May 1.80 3.2 6-1
4 3 Motataabeq 12.00 5 9-1
5 4 Counter Offer 12.00 5.3 10-1
7 6 Surf and Turf 15.00 6 11-1
2 2 Flawless Bourbon 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Zalza 4.00 3.3 6-1
6 5 Dr Harlan 3.50 4.2 8-1
10 9 Charge Card 5.00 4.5 9-1
11 10 Jamaican 6.00 6 11-1
7 6 Karen’s Cove 12.00 6.2 12-1
13 12 Desert General 6.00 7.1 13-1
12 11 Avast Matey 8.00 7.1 14-1
9 8 Steady Earner 10.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Pachanga Party 12.00 8.9 17-1
3 3 Areyoutalkingtome 20.00 9.9 19-1
5 5 Crazy Frank C 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Particularity 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Colormepompom 6.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Cabre 3.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Stolen Identity 30.00 11.5 22-1
2 2 Oskar Blues 30.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Sky D 4.50 3 6-1
7 7 King of Leinster (IRE) 8.00 3 6-1
9 9 Stuck With You 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Ding Dong Ditch 2.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 Malibu Music 3.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 Preacher Marsee 6.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Mon Chevalier 12.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 A I Initiative 15.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Guess First 30.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Gone Diesel 30.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Millionaire Runner 3.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Quality Special 2.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Fives Wild 10.00 4.6 9-1
11 11 Tangible 4.00 5 9-1
9 9 False Accusation 6.00 5 10-1
10 10 Lawyer Drill 15.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 American River (VEN) 20.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Sky Point 20.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Rattle’m 20.00 7.9 15-1
5 5 Cape Marco Drive 30.00 8.7 16-1
4 4 Organic Jenny 30.00 8.7 17-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Drama in Dixie 3.50 3.9 7-1
9 7 King of Ranch 3.00 4.8 9-1
12 9 Castagno 6.00 5.7 11-1
8 6 Bacano 4.50 5.9 11-1
4 3 On the Turf 10.00 6.2 12-1
3 2 Handsome Lil Devil 8.00 6.3 12-1
5 4 Rebelde 6.00 6.9 13-1
10 8 Storm Risk 15.00 8 15-1
2 1 Conquer 15.00 8.8 17-1
1 1 Northbrook 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Earthquake 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Harper Go Lucky 4.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Silverly Enough 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Recess 3.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Katieleigh 6.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Elite Appeal 8.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Barbadolla 3.50 4.8 9-1
7 7 For Kicks 10.00 6 11-1
10 10 Stated 15.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Get Rewarded 6.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Whiskarita 15.00 7.7 15-1
3 3 Grey Manners 12.00 8 15-1
11 11 Noble Intentions 20.00 9 17-1
13 13 Blame the Gods 4.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Karenina 4.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Zodiac Princess 3.50 SCRATCH
16 16 Magic River 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Margie Music 20.00 10.1 19-1
2 2 Tell Me Maux 30.00 10.8 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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