March 1, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Fast Break | 0.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | New Frontier | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Point of Humor | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Ink Splotz | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tri Saint Lorenzo | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Floss Dancer | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Awesome Alana | 0.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Chillinwithfriends | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ok Honey | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sister Alexa | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Spring Drama | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Party in the Sand | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Thegoodmind (IRE) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | My Sweet Kat | 1.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Super Twenty Seven | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tokyo Bay | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Kheisha | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | City Bird Flying | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Moneybackguarantee | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5A | 5 | Reed Kan | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2A | 2 | Life in Shambles | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tale of Mist | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Autostrade | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wegotoldyougotsold | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Angry Moon | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thousand Percent | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Swiping Dan | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Beautiful Karen | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mystic Moves | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Makingcents | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Take Charge Donna | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rosey’s Invasion | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bella Domenica | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kilkea | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Tapizearance | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wild Banker | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Shortandsimple | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | My Sacred Place | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | King of American | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Thunder Day | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Glenn Likes Gin | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Yes for Less | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Collegeville Girl | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bustin Scones | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Doll | 1.20 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tayler’s the Boss | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Carlisle Belle | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Party in the Raine | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Happy Music | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Frank’sgunisloaded | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Roaming Union | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Patagonia | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Krewe Chief | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Small Bear | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Its All Relevant | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Quest for Fire | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Air On Fire | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Elios Milos | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Bustin the Rules | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jack Bo | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Call the Cat | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Flat Rate | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ari’s Naughty Luca | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Alongcametheprince | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.