Sports from the Basement

Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 29, 2020

February 29, 2020 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 True Friend 3.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Moon Date 5.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Edgeway 4.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Triangle Park 4.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Cynical Girl 4.50 1.2 2-1
5 5 Kiss Mo 20.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Good Shabbos 3.50 1.7 3-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Mallard’s Bro 20.00 1.9 4-1
10 9 Hold On Angel 30.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Albireo 4.00 5.2 10-1
6 5 Kristi’s Copilot 4.50 5.5 10-1
9 8 Ault 20.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Chicory Blue 12.00 6.3 12-1
12 11 All About Ashley 8.00 7.7 14-1
3 3 Adulator 15.00 8.2 15-1
11 10 Whole Lotta Luck 20.00 8.2 16-1
4 4 Always a Catch 5.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Dukes Up 3.00 10.2 19-1
8 7 Good Good 8.00 10.6 20-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Dunph 2.50 1.1 2-1
7 7 Impact Player 4.50 1.1 2-1
5 5 Platinum Nights 8.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Ebben 3.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Frolic More 12.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Mr. Ankeny 15.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Bullion 5.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Muskoka Wonder 6.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 General Trev 5.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Shacks Way 4.50 1.2 2-1
6 6 Jimmie T 20.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Energizer 6.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Missumaxwell 15.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Pine Knoll 15.00 1.5 3-1
9 9 Knockout Bert 8.00 1.5 3-1
10 10 Baba Lou 12.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Special Day 4.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Hunt the Front 3.00 2.1 4-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Jo Marie 15.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Gold Credit 12.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Sunny Dale 3.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 True Castle 8.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Mucho Mas 15.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Summer Storm 8.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Marathon Queen 6.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Inthemidstofbiz 8.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Nomizar 3.00 2.9 5-1
10 10 Golden Secret 5.00 9.7 18-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Classy Act 4.50 1.3 2-1
8 8 Peruvian Appeal 4.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Raintree Starlet 20.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Irish Mischief 2.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 Caliente Candy 4.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Three Chords 20.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Headland 3.50 6.2 12-1
3 3 Liz’s Cable Girl 10.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tiz a Goddess 3.50 1.2 2-1
6 6 Golden Command 10.00 1.2 2-1
11 11 Got a Good Notion 12.00 1.2 2-1
10 10 Ican’treadtheodds 6.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Nurse Sadie 15.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Lil Respect 15.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Hoyam 8.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Shocking Fast 4.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Dixie Nation 20.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Alena Marie 15.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Exchange West 3.00 2.2 4-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Shackleford’s Joy 20.00 0.8 2-1
3 3 Something Super 10.00 0.9 2-1
5 4 Gangly 4.00 1.3 2-1
6 5 Shared Sense 2.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Tick Tack Mo 30.00 2.3 4-1
8 7 Hurts So Good 20.00 3.7 7-1
7 6 Marvin 3.00 4.3 8-1
9 8 Ranaan 5.00 8.5 16-1
4 4 Captain Bombastic 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Spring Fever S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Midnight Fantasy 8.00 0.8 1-1
6 6 What a Fox 5.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Amy’s Challenge 2.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Mt. Brave 4.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Artistic Diva 4.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Break Even 2.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 October Surprise 15.00 1 2-1
5 5 Santos Dumont 1.80 1.2 2-1
9 9 Warrior’s Map 12.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Time Heist 10.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Jasiri 20.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Mo and Go 4.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Kickin’ Kirby 15.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Dean Martini 4.50 1.9 4-1
10 10 Kowalski 10.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Steely Danza 6.00 1.9 4-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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