February 29, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lord Colliery | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Phat and Fast | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Disapproval | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jalen Hurts | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grand Omega | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Halfmoon Reef | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Classic Bowtie | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flash’s Adventure | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Taft’s Lil Boy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lady Miah | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Champagnerie | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Endless Romance | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sarahcain | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silent Trick | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | La Negra Noche | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Major Glady’s Team | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Majestic Ice | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Black Gold S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Bodecream | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hieronymus | 1.40 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Pixelate | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mishko | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jersey Cat Tale | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kinenos | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Weightlessness | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Desert Thief | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Double Down Britt | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Lefthoofrightleft | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Niece Jackie Davis | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | J D’s Girl | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | In Full Swing | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Lu Sea | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Benelux | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Creative Plan | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Natural History | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Pharaoh’s Kitten | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Drax | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Semi Charmed Day | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Degas Away | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bigdaddy’sflyinghi | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mom Said Yes | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Katama Bay | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crescent City Star | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Schemer | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Crealock | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Lafitte’s Fleet | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Atlas Moon | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Second Line David | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bayern to Be Wild | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tactician | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Johnny Casino | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | El Supremo | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Deanos Cape | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Say When | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stop Making Sense | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Domonette | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | She’s All Skeet | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Holly Go Lightly | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vomba | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Winandyourin Gin | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Dance Rhythms | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Cobra Casablanca | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Quick Quick Quick | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Maybe I Can | 10.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 1A | 16 | Arabella Bella | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Miss Imperial | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Even Beat | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Holiday Time | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Novo Azul | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Miz Shelton | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Redeem My Heart | 15.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Jax Man | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | City Park | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Kai Baby Kai | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Social Afleet | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Atta Bouy | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Guitar Tribute | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Two Utes | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jennovodka | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Extra Mile | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Dixie Poker Ace S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 8 | Ninety One Assault | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Shang | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Remembermis | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | In the Navy | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Budro Talking | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Treys Midnite Moon | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Jus Lively | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Make Me Smile | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Theoryintopractice | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Grand Luwegee | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Payday Too | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Ohmymy Ohmyyes | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | From Now On | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Looking for Bull | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Hansen’s Holiday | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Beauty Boy | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cajun Creed | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dutchman | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Myblendofwhisky | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dude Greeley | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Boston Bob | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I B Revolutionery | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.