February 29, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 3 | Tiz the Time | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
9 | 8 | Skylas Gold | 1.80 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
7 | 6 | Elektracutioner | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
2 | 1 | I Rate First | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
1 | 1 | Sutton Impact | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
10 | 9 | Crescent Lace | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
6 | 5 | Grand Hoga | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
8 | 7 | Set Hut | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
5 | 4 | Wild Bottom Blues | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
3 | 2 | Lukes Bad Boy | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Fancy This | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
7 | 7 | Song N a Cat | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
4 | 4 | Mr. Bandini’s Band | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
2 | 2 | Our Rapidash | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
6 | 6 | Primetime Tiz | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
8 | 8 | Debriyn | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
3 | 3 | Rose Needs a Check | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
9 | 9 | Truly the One | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
10 | 10 | A We Bit Flirty | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
1 | 1 | Montbrooks Miracle | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 7 | Saturday’s Gold | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
3 | 2 | Lions Hot Mess | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
5 | 4 | Custom Ready | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
2 | 1 | Runtotexas | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
7 | 6 | Amandas Lightening | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
6 | 5 | Elisher | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
1 | 8 | Sent’s Galaxy | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
1A | 10 | Indicatif | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
4 | 3 | Jeb’s Lucky Eight | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
9 | 9 | Carlos Fine Custom | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Alex’s Turn | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
7 | 7 | Due Apeal | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
8 | 8 | Randy Paul | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
5 | 5 | Hawks Peak | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
4 | 4 | Donwell | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
9 | 9 | Hot Ten | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
3 | 3 | Chief Knockaway | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
1 | 1 | Cowboy City | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
10 | 10 | Si Familia | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
6 | 6 | Navy Typist | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Freddieslilwildcat | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
8 | 8 | Liam Skye | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
1 | 1 | Purim King | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
3 | 3 | I’ll Raise You | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
6 | 6 | Drewtempo | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
4 | 4 | Second Guess | 5.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
10 | 10 | Odyssey Explorer | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
2 | 2 | King Formeredith | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
9 | 9 | Flashy Image | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
5 | 5 | Fire Makers Star | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
11 | 11 | Not Today Alfie | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 12 | Singinginthewind | 12.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Hard Story | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
4 | 4 | Larry Dale | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
2 | 2 | Honor My Speed | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
7 | 7 | Clear the Nile | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
1 | 1 | U Complete Me | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
6 | 6 | Private Reality | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
10 | 10 | Hold Me Kat | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
8 | 8 | Overlyappealing | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
9 | 9 | Happy Journey | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
3 | 3 | Steel Drums | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
11 | 11 | Jr’s Sauvage | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 12 | G Cisive | 6.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Landonese | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
6 | 6 | Bushido Samurai | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
1 | 1 | Absolut Neworleans | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
3 | 3 | Pointman | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
7 | 7 | Carbonated | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
2 | 2 | Spring Rodeo | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
10 | 10 | Uncle Bird | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
8 | 8 | Meditate | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
9 | 9 | Canyon Fire | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
4 | 4 | Watchoutfor Taylor | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
11 | 11 | Bad Boy Johnny | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 12 | Halo Redding | 30.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Big Drama S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 8 | Blazin’ Asian | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
2 | 2 | Freedomfi | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
4 | 4 | Jack the Umpire | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
6 | 6 | Secret Biscuit | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
7 | 7 | Dr. Forman | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
3 | 3 | Doubleturbo | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
5 | 5 | Flash Me Back | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
1 | 1 | He’s a Lucky Man | 15.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 6 | Wonder Run | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
4 | 4 | Double Barrel Man | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
1 | 3 | Galaxy Builder | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
8 | 9 | I Want a Picture | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
2 | 1 | Prizeless | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
1A | 5 | Smooth Colliery | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
7 | 8 | Wild Bert | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 7 | Alluring Actor | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
3 | 2 | Snapper Bite | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Owner Appreciation Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Stephen’s Answer | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
2 | 2 | Bending Saint | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
3 | 3 | Treasure Trove | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
9 | 9 | Paddock Pick | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | Gentrified | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
6 | 6 | Underpressure | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
8 | 8 | Pound for Pound | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
1 | 1 | Extirpator | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
7 | 7 | Late Nite Mischief | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Scrimmage | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
9 | 9 | War Song | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
1 | 1 | The Boyz Done It | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
5 | 5 | Purple Heart Road | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
2 | 2 | Good Air | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
7 | 7 | Carletta | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
6 | 6 | Lil Bit of Justice | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
8 | 8 | Canrunalittle | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
4 | 4 | Little Wise Guy | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.