Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 29, 2020

February 29, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Tiz the Time 6.00 3.8 7-1
9 8 Skylas Gold 1.80 4.1 8-1
7 6 Elektracutioner 6.00 4.2 8-1
2 1 I Rate First 10.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Sutton Impact 3.00 SCRATCH
10 9 Crescent Lace 12.00 5.3 10-1
6 5 Grand Hoga 15.00 5.4 10-1
8 7 Set Hut 15.00 6.5 12-1
5 4 Wild Bottom Blues 20.00 6.9 13-1
3 2 Lukes Bad Boy 20.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Fancy This 4.50 3 6-1
7 7 Song N a Cat 2.50 3.7 7-1
4 4 Mr. Bandini’s Band 3.00 4 8-1
2 2 Our Rapidash 12.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Primetime Tiz 5.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Debriyn 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Rose Needs a Check 15.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Truly the One 12.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 A We Bit Flirty 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Montbrooks Miracle 30.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Saturday’s Gold 2.50 1.6 3-1
3 2 Lions Hot Mess 6.00 2.6 5-1
5 4 Custom Ready 5.00 3.9 7-1
2 1 Runtotexas 12.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Amandas Lightening 3.00 3.9 7-1
6 5 Elisher 5.00 4 8-1
1 8 Sent’s Galaxy 10.00 4.6 9-1
1A 10 Indicatif 10.00 5.2 10-1
4 3 Jeb’s Lucky Eight 12.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Carlos Fine Custom 20.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Alex’s Turn 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Due Apeal 12.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Randy Paul 3.50 3.4 6-1
5 5 Hawks Peak 2.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Donwell 4.50 4.1 8-1
9 9 Hot Ten 12.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Chief Knockaway 20.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Cowboy City 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Si Familia 15.00 6 11-1
6 6 Navy Typist 30.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Freddieslilwildcat 4.50 3.1 6-1
8 8 Liam Skye 3.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Purim King 3.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 I’ll Raise You 6.00 4 7-1
6 6 Drewtempo 10.00 5 9-1
4 4 Second Guess 5.00 5.6 10-1
10 10 Odyssey Explorer 12.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 King Formeredith 20.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 Flashy Image 20.00 8.6 16-1
5 5 Fire Makers Star 20.00 9.9 19-1
11 11 Not Today Alfie 2.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Singinginthewind 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Hard Story 2.00 3 6-1
4 4 Larry Dale 6.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Honor My Speed 3.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Clear the Nile 5.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 U Complete Me 8.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Private Reality 20.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Hold Me Kat 8.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Overlyappealing 15.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Happy Journey 30.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Steel Drums 20.00 9.3 18-1
11 11 Jr’s Sauvage 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 G Cisive 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Landonese 5.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Bushido Samurai 4.00 3 6-1
1 1 Absolut Neworleans 3.50 3 6-1
3 3 Pointman 10.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Carbonated 2.50 5.3 10-1
2 2 Spring Rodeo 15.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Uncle Bird 20.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Meditate 12.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Canyon Fire 12.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Watchoutfor Taylor 30.00 8.1 15-1
11 11 Bad Boy Johnny 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Halo Redding 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Big Drama S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Blazin’ Asian 4.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Freedomfi 5.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Jack the Umpire 2.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Secret Biscuit 6.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Dr. Forman 3.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Doubleturbo 12.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Flash Me Back 10.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 He’s a Lucky Man 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 6 Wonder Run 3.50 3 6-1
4 4 Double Barrel Man 4.00 3.4 6-1
1 3 Galaxy Builder 8.00 4 8-1
8 9 I Want a Picture 3.00 4.3 8-1
2 1 Prizeless 6.00 4.8 9-1
1A 5 Smooth Colliery 8.00 5 9-1
7 8 Wild Bert 8.00 SCRATCH
6 7 Alluring Actor 12.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Snapper Bite 10.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Owner Appreciation Cup S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Stephen’s Answer 4.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Bending Saint 3.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Treasure Trove 6.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Paddock Pick 8.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Gentrified 10.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Underpressure 5.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Pound for Pound 5.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Extirpator 8.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Late Nite Mischief 15.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Scrimmage 3.50 2.3 4-1
9 9 War Song 4.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 The Boyz Done It 3.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Purple Heart Road 5.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Good Air 8.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Carletta 10.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Lil Bit of Justice 12.00 6 11-1
8 8 Canrunalittle 10.00 6 11-1
4 4 Little Wise Guy 12.00 6.4 12-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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