Sports from the Basement

Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 28, 2020

February 28, 2020 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mostly Sunny 12.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Cowboy Cactus Jack 20.00 2 4-1
6 6 Suspect a Storm 8.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Hamazingly Rich 15.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Meanbone 2.50 6.3 12-1
2 2 Bud Ro 4.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Burtnjoe 6.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Guska Mon Shoes 2.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Teletap 15.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Marshall Hill 15.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Negroni Up 20.00 1.4 3-1
10 10 Strong Arm 30.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Johnny Chadda 20.00 1.5 3-1
9 9 Scooter’s Boy 8.00 2 4-1
8 8 Belmont Hills 3.50 2.2 4-1
11 11 Corrana En Limen 4.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Ice Sphere 12.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Super Terrific 2.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Elite and Big 6.00 10.4 20-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 8 Miss Casey Beth 12.00 1.4 3-1
5 4 Comanche Moon 12.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Julie Arkansas 10.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Hightail Runaway 6.00 1.6 3-1
8 6 Lori’s Eyes 4.50 1.7 3-1
6 5 Lovely Lou 1.60 1.9 4-1
4 3 Dena’s Bold Move 20.00 2.7 5-1
9 7 Jeweled Crown 10.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Spurwink Lane 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Cider House 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 I’m Corfu 15.00 1.2 2-1
7 6 Coal Truth 4.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Gray Sky 12.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Reason to Soar 8.00 3.3 6-1
8 7 Junior Gilliam 3.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Whiskey Echo 3.50 5.5 10-1
9 8 Fascilitator 2.50 5.7 11-1
2A 2 Knights Key 10.00 9 17-1
5A 5 Sharp Art 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 10 Holy Truth 15.00 1.4 3-1
7 6 Unbridled Shoes 10.00 1.6 3-1
10 9 Rockthepulpit 2.50 1.9 4-1
9 8 Trophy Daddy 12.00 2.1 4-1
5 4 My Sugar Town 20.00 2.2 4-1
8 7 R V T Thunder Road 20.00 2.3 4-1
2 1 Moon in the Sky 8.00 2.3 4-1
4 3 Reverend Don 30.00 2.7 5-1
13 12 Arkansas Red 12.00 2.7 5-1
3 2 Hot Iron 3.00 3.1 6-1
12 11 Listen to Rose 10.00 3.6 7-1
6 5 Hesluck 6.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Gotta Love Ike 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Tiz Approved 8.00 1.1 2-1
7 6 Unimaginable U 6.00 1.2 2-1
8 7 Litany 15.00 1.3 3-1
5 5 Bobby Axelrod 10.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Wild Popit 6.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Swingin’ Sam 15.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Majestic Jazz 5.00 2.9 5-1
9 8 Gallant Plunger 2.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Golden Notion 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ourbestfriend D L 20.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Spikes Shirl 12.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Strolling 8.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Imma Bling 3.50 2.6 5-1
8 8 Control Stake 2.50 2.6 5-1
7 7 Battle Station 4.00 3 6-1
4 4 Nuclear Option 6.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Tiz Alluptome Now 4.50 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Indy Union 3.00 2.2 4-1
9 8 Rahway 4.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Glamorized 10.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Blessed Again 10.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Carissa Crismas 15.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Blue Moonrise 8.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Calf Moon Bay 6.00 6.8 13-1
10 9 Royal Gem 15.00 7.7 15-1
1 1 Getridofwhatailesu 3.50 8.6 16-1
8 8 Sunday Night Miss 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 8 Hidden Talent 12.00 1.6 3-1
3 2 Starship Zeus 8.00 2.9 6-1
12 9 Sonny Smack 4.00 3 6-1
8 6 Incorrigible 30.00 4.9 9-1
9 7 Cabertoss 4.50 5 9-1
5 3 Pickford 12.00 5.3 10-1
6 4 New Mexico 12.00 7.1 13-1
2 1 Carte Blanche 15.00 8.6 16-1
1 1 Proverb 5.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Ucanthankmelater 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 One Last Strike 20.00 SCRATCH
7 5 Mo Gotcha 3.50 11.9 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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