Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 28, 2020

February 28, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 7 Emily’s Pegasus 4.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 She’s Seventeen 5.00 2.9 5-1
10 8 Buy Me the Ring 4.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Finding Value 6.00 3.8 7-1
7 6 Given Kisses 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 No No No 3.50 4.4 8-1
8 8 Papa’s Girl 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Selene’s Argument 15.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Blondie Lox Babe 20.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Run Far Rylee 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Pitcher 4.50 3.4 6-1
10 10 Toga’s Margrock 6.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Honest Woman 2.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Our Diamond 5.00 4.8 9-1
11 11 Ourgoldshalaylee 6.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Ballerina Boogie 12.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Dr. Frankie Kaye 12.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Princess Arwen 15.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Paleeze 8.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Miss Guretta 15.00 7.7 15-1
7 7 Red Princess 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Here Comes Linda 2.50 1.5 3-1
9 9 Lady Hopper 5.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 American Rebel 3.50 4.1 8-1
6 6 Remi’s Rose 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Quick Heat 6.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Bigjim’s Silvergal 10.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Dancer On the Sand 10.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Miss Charlie Sioux 12.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Jo Jo’s Halo 15.00 6 11-1
10 10 Julie’s Ghost 20.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Perfectly Precious 1.60 3.6 7-1
6 6 Any Ole Thing 8.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Agirlnamedsyd 10.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Brahms’ Regal Gal 8.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Paradise Reunion 6.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Miss Cissy 8.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Run Rhea Run 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 She’s So Bossy 10.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 Weavemeawinr 12.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Outoftheballpark 20.00 8.4 16-1
11 11 Casual Cool 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Flash N Go 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Thirstyamericangal 2.50 3 6-1
9 9 Mystic Gem 6.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Starbuck Luck 5.00 4 8-1
4 4 Ante Vera 10.00 5 9-1
8 8 Blowing Bayou 4.50 5.1 10-1
1 1 Irish Priority 6.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Queen Shasta 12.00 7 13-1
2 2 My Little Fire 8.00 7 13-1
6 6 Calaja 15.00 7.8 15-1
11 11 Smooth Fantasy 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Stormy Annie 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Lucky Lily Be 20.00 10.1 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Caught His Eye 2.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Miss Mabelee 4.50 3.7 7-1
10 10 Catbalee 3.50 3.7 7-1
9 9 Bankers Honour 12.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Money Sunk 8.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 U Thought U Got Me 15.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Final Design 12.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 G G Has a Shot 15.00 7.7 15-1
6 6 Roll On Baby 20.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Bermuda Bridge 30.00 8.6 16-1
11 11 City Gone Country 3.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Unmentionable 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Tenacious Faith 8.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Peach’s Swan Song 8.00 3 6-1
10 10 Runpeggyrun 1.80 3.4 6-1
9 9 Half Vicki 4.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 Seismic 3.50 4.5 8-1
4 4 Old Time Girl 10.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Ladie Verrazano 12.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Ideal Mallory 15.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Smooth Rapids 30.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Little Brown Eyes 30.00 7.8 15-1
11 11 Boston Baby 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Holy Song 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Take Charge Brandi S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 West Bank Baby 10.00 3 6-1
5 5 Topless 3.50 3.7 7-1
4 4 Film Study 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Green Monster 8.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 Strong Beauty 5.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Our Lost Love 2.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Judy’s Prize 15.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Minertime 10.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Nancy’s Rescue 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Taylor’s Lightning 30.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Right On By 4.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Paddy O 3.00 3 6-1
1 1 Princess Gianna 6.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Glorieta 3.50 3.4 6-1
7 7 Mintappearence 5.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Argument Won 10.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Deep End 15.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Costa Sugar 15.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Jewels of Sorce 20.00 6.1 12-1
10 10 Eight Grand 30.00 8 15-1
11 11 Realmente Calmada 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Dora Maar 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Owner Appreciation Distaff S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Summer’s Indy 3.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Reachreachreach 8.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Fool’s Paradise 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Seeds of Time 5.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Best Kept Secret 4.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Shes Our Fastest 3.50 5.2 10-1
3 3 Operatic 15.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Perfect Reins 15.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Smok’n Rita 20.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Blue Suade Guitar 12.00 7.9 15-1
11 11 Hyper Piper 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Baby 5.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Missbudlitelime 4.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 D’lady Fired Up 5.00 3 6-1
7 7 Peacefully 3.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Takilla Shotz 8.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Golden Knot 12.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 Sweet Karma 20.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Susurro 15.00 8.3 16-1
3 3 Something for Mama 20.00 8.4 16-1
10 10 Fickle Flash 20.00 8.5 16-1
11 11 Lady Miah 2.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Betty Gets Better 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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