Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 27, 2020

February 27, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cool Hand Coop 6.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Red Mule 2.50 2.5 5-1
7 7 Sweet Ride 3.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Nothin But Net 4.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Creedmoor 10.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Katara Pass 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Fort King 8.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Warrior Spirit 20.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tara 3.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 She Answered 6.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Leo’s Diamond 6.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Bibiana 4.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Fancified 2.50 3.7 7-1
8 8 Panarea 5.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Our Little Devil 20.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Trevess 30.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Derby Champagne 4.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Soglio 1.40 2.9 6-1
5 5 Donji 10.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Cowboy Culture 2.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Face of Victory 6.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Differential 15.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Bugle Barry 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Unshaken 2.50 1.2 2-1
5 5 Youngest of Five 4.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Coastal Defense 3.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Groundbreaking 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Quick Step Ed 6.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Septemberten 4.50 3.9 7-1
7 7 Vinestone 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Aznavour 4.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Businessindubai 8.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Delia’s Pride 4.50 5.1 10-1
12 12 Felony Melanie 6.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Nice Adventure 3.50 5.9 11-1
1 1 No Good Deed 15.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Fluffy Truffle 8.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Blame the Storm 12.00 8.2 16-1
9 9 Happy Loudon 20.00 8.4 16-1
13 13 Miriana’s Queen 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Shell Beach Party 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Fernanda 10.00 SCRATCH
16 16 De Pura Sangre 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Music Music 20.00 10.2 19-1
11 11 Awesome Flyer 20.00 10.2 19-1
6 6 Pazyarmonia 30.00 11.8 22-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Shanghaisweetheart 4.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Tropicality 6.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Myfrancesca 3.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Pagalo in Avanti 3.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Hilltop Harmony 6.00 4 8-1
7 7 Special for You 8.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Stronger Kat 10.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 A Song for Sue 12.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Uncle Curly 4.50 2.6 5-1
6 6 Hard Count 3.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Volubile 3.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 New Year 6.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Lookin At Roses 10.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Positive Phil 8.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Mystical Moon 12.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Smell of Roses 12.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Direct Approach 15.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Summer Beach 20.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Belle Tapisserie 3.00 2.5 5-1
7 6 Malibu Max 3.50 2.7 5-1
5 4 Stone Hands 8.00 2.9 5-1
3 2 Balandeen 8.00 3.4 6-1
8 7 Cajun Firecracker 4.00 3.6 7-1
2 1 Front Loaded 6.00 4.1 8-1
4 3 Star Juancho 20.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Get Hammered 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Hotty Toddy 4.50 1.9 4-1
8 8 Picasso Moon 3.00 3 6-1
9 9 Sassy Justice 3.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Britesideoftheroad 6.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Believe Indeed 6.00 4 8-1
6 6 Yako 12.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Beach Dreaming 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Kiffle 10.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Faith N Hope 20.00 6.1 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Film Fan 6.00 2.2 4-1
10 10 War Act 4.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Sweet Giant 4.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Bulkcarrier 3.50 4.4 8-1
1 1 Dramatic Kitten 6.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Pink Lemonade 8.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Severus 15.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Mr Starlight 15.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Luck of the Crook 15.00 7 13-1
8 8 King Wade 20.00 7.3 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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